

562 

FNUS54 KMRX 300134

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

934 PM EDT TUE APR 29 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA LATE 

TONIGHT AND WILL PUSH OFF TO OUR EAST BY EARLY WEDNESDAY NIGHT.  

DRIER AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE AREA THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-010245-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

934 PM EDT TUE APR 29 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+2)   68-73 (-4)   48-53        60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  56-61 (+5)   87-92        39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 11 G20                  SW  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7 G18    SW  9 G18    W  7         SW 11        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           90           30           20           

PRECIP DURATION       5            5            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.33         0.68         0.06         0.03         

LAL                   5            4            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      7300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 23                     SW 20        

DISPERSION                         71 GOOD                   88 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-010245-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

934 PM EDT TUE APR 29 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (0)    66-71 (-6)   47-52        59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (0)    56-61 (+4)   91-96        39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 11 G21                  W  8 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  8 G18    S 11 G21     W  7 G17     W 11 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           90           40           20           

PRECIP DURATION       5            5            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.43         0.79         0.09         0.04         

LAL                   5            4            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      7600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 26                     W 22         

DISPERSION                         58 GEN GOOD               93 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO

MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-010245-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

934 PM EDT TUE APR 29 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (-1)   64-69 (-8)   44-49        58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+2)   54-59 (0)    88-93        36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 11 G24                  W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G22     SW 10 G20    SW  7 G16    W 10 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           90           30           20           

PRECIP DURATION       7            5            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.61         0.63         0.05         0.02         

LAL                   5            4            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      7800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 24                     W 20         

DISPERSION                         49 GEN GOOD               80 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-010245-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

934 PM EDT TUE APR 29 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (0)    68-73 (-7)   46-51        63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-3)   51-56 (-2)   87-92        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 10 G20                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G18     SW  9 G19    LGT/VAR      W 10         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           80           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       8            3            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.71         0.43         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   5            4            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      7600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 20                     W 18         

DISPERSION                         50 GEN GOOD               86 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-010245-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

934 PM EDT TUE APR 29 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (0)    68-73 (-6)   47-52        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+1)   54-59 (-1)   83-88        34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 10 G18                  W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G16     SW  9 G18    LGT/VAR      W 10         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           80           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       8            5            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   5 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.91         0.57         0.05         0.00         

LAL                   5            4            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      7900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 23                     W 18         

DISPERSION                         63 GOOD                   91 GOOD      

MAX LVORI                          4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID

70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S

TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-010245-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

934 PM EDT TUE APR 29 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+1)   71-76 (-5)   48-53        64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-3)   50-55 (0)    88-93        35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  9 G16                  W  7 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5 G15    SW  9 G16    W  7 G17     W 10         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           90           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       5            5            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.41         0.63         0.03         0.01         

LAL                   5            4            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      6800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 22                     W 20         

DISPERSION                         62 GOOD                   88 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-010245-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

934 PM EDT TUE APR 29 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (-1)   70-75 (-6)   46-51        63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-2)   42-47 (-8)   84-89        34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G15                 W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G16     W  8 G17     SW  6        W 10 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           80           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       7            3            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.48         0.33         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   5            4            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      7400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 18                     W 20         

DISPERSION                         62 GOOD                   104 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-010245-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

934 PM EDT TUE APR 29 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (-2)   69-74 (-8)   45-50        64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-3)   41-46 (-9)   84-89        29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G16                 W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G15     W  7         SW  6        W  9 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           60           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       8            2            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.50         0.15         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   5            4            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      7400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 20                     W 18         

DISPERSION                         70 GOOD                   97 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



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