

388 

FNUS54 KMRX 290715

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

315 AM EDT TUE APR 29 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A LARGE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS 

WILL MOVE VERY SLOWLY EAST THROUGH MID WEEK...BRINGING PERIODS OF 

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA...ALONG WITH SOME LOCALLY

HEAVY RAINFALL THROUGH WEDNESDAY. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-300815-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

315 AM EDT TUE APR 29 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (-2)   54-59 (-1)   69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+3)   95-100 (+8)  53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G25                  S  8 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  9 G17    S  8 G16     SW  9 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           90           90           

PRECIP DURATION       4            8            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.27         0.40         0.79         

LAL                   5            5            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 22                      SW 18        

DISPERSION            47 GEN GOOD               23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-300815-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

315 AM EDT TUE APR 29 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (0)    53-58 (-2)   66-71        

RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (0)    95-100 (+8)  55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G24                  S  9 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7 G19    S 10 G20     SW 10 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          90           

PRECIP DURATION       5            8            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.39         0.78         1.00         

LAL                   5            5            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 20                      SW 21        

DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-300815-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

315 AM EDT TUE APR 29 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (0)    52-57 (-4)   66-71        

RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (0)    95-100 (+11) 50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G28                 SW  9 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G23     S  9 G25     SW  9 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          80           

PRECIP DURATION       4            8            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.27         0.87         0.61         

LAL                   5            5            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 25                     SW 21        

DISPERSION            59 GEN GOOD               20 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-300815-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

315 AM EDT TUE APR 29 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (-2)   54-59 (-4)   70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (-1)   95-100 (+9)  44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G21                  SW  8 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G22     S  8 G22     SW  9 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          70           

PRECIP DURATION       4            8            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         1.15         0.46         

LAL                   5            5            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 25                      SW 20        

DISPERSION            71 GOOD                   32 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-300815-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

315 AM EDT TUE APR 29 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (-1)   54-59 (-4)   70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+1)   95-100 (+10) 48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G22                  S  8 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G19     S  8 G19     SW  9 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          80           

PRECIP DURATION       5            8            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.27         1.32         0.65         

LAL                   5            5            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 26                      SW 21        

DISPERSION            83 GOOD                   47 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S

TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-300815-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

315 AM EDT TUE APR 29 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (-2)   54-59 (-2)   71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (0)    95-100 (+7)  50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G19                  SW  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7 G15    S  7 G15     SW 10 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          90           

PRECIP DURATION       4            8            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.30         0.56         0.72         

LAL                   5            5            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      2300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 16                      SW 17        

DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   13 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-300815-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

315 AM EDT TUE APR 29 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (0)    55-60 (-4)   70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-10)  95-100 (+13) 45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  9 G18                 SW  7 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G18     S  5         SW  9        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           90           70           

PRECIP DURATION       2            8            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.70         0.34         

LAL                   5            5            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 23                      SW 17        

DISPERSION            53 GEN GOOD               29 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-300815-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

315 AM EDT TUE APR 29 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (-2)   54-59 (-5)   70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-5)   95-100 (+14) 41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G17                  SW  7 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G17     S  5         SW  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           80           60           

PRECIP DURATION       3            8            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         0.94         0.19         

LAL                   4            5            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 21                      SW 17        

DISPERSION            45 GEN GOOD               38 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



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