

961 

FNUS54 KMRX 290150

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

950 PM EDT MON APR 28 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A LARGE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS 

WILL MOVE VERY SLOWLY EAST THROUGH MID WEEK...BRINGING PERIODS OF 

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA.



ADJUSTING RELATIVE HUMIDITY OVERNIGHT.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-300300-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

950 PM EDT MON APR 28 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (0)    72-77 (0)    56-61        70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (+11)  42-47 (-1)   95-100       48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 10 G27                  SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G20     S  9 G19     SE  6 G17    SW  9 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           90           90           

PRECIP DURATION       5            3            7            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.70         0.32         0.44         0.50         

LAL                   5            5            5            3            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 22                      SW 21        

DISPERSION                         60 GEN GOOD               64 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR

50. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-300300-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

950 PM EDT MON APR 28 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+1)   70-75 (+1)   55-60        68-73        

RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (+7)   44-49 (-5)   95-100       48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  9 G25                 SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G28     S  6 G20     S  8 G20     W  8 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           90           90           

PRECIP DURATION       5            4            7            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.89         0.52         0.77         0.68         

LAL                   5            5            5            3            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 20                      SW 14        

DISPERSION                         46 GEN GOOD               38 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-300300-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

950 PM EDT MON APR 28 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+4)   71-76 (+1)   54-59        66-71        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (0)    35-40 (-9)   95-100       47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  9 G28                 SW  8 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 15 G35     S 12 G29     SW 10 G29    W 10 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          70           90           80           

PRECIP DURATION       5            3            7            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         1.48         0.43         0.82         0.40         

LAL                   5            5            5            3            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 24                     SW 20        

DISPERSION                         55 GEN GOOD               50 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 60S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S

TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-300300-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

950 PM EDT MON APR 28 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+4)   75-80 (0)    56-61        70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-4)   41-46 (-7)   95-100       44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  9 G22                 SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 13 G28     S 13 G29     SW  9 G27    SW  9 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          70           90           70           

PRECIP DURATION       5            3            7            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         1.44         0.33         1.04         0.32         

LAL                   5            4            5            3            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 23                     SW 20        

DISPERSION                         52 GEN GOOD               65 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-300300-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

950 PM EDT MON APR 28 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+6)   75-80 (+1)   56-61        70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-5)   41-46 (-5)   95-100       48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  9 G22                 SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G24     S 12 G26     SW  8 G25    W  8 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          70           90           80           

PRECIP DURATION       5            3            7            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         1.60         0.51         1.16         0.47         

LAL                   5            5            5            3            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 24                     SW 17        

DISPERSION                         63 GOOD                   52 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI                          4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-300300-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

950 PM EDT MON APR 28 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (0)    75-80 (0)    56-61        72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (+4)   37-42 (-9)   95-100       44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G21                 SW  6 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  8 G20    S  8 G17     S  7 G15     SW  9 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          70           90           90           

PRECIP DURATION       5            2            7            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.91         0.37         0.56         0.46         

LAL                   5            5            5            3            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 20                     SW 21        

DISPERSION                         53 GEN GOOD               71 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR

50. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-300300-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

950 PM EDT MON APR 28 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+2)   77-82 (+2)   57-62        71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-5)   29-34 (-21)  95-100       42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  9 G20                 SW  6 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G22     S 11 G21     SW  6 G18    SW  9 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           80           70           

PRECIP DURATION       8            2            7            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.99         0.20         0.76         0.16         

LAL                   5            4            5            3            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 20                     SW 23        

DISPERSION                         51 GEN GOOD               97 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-300300-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

950 PM EDT MON APR 28 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+1)   77-82 (0)    56-61        70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-6)   31-36 (-18)  95-100       37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G17                 SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G21     S 12 G23     SW  6 G15    SW 10 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           80           60           

PRECIP DURATION       8            2            7            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.99         0.15         1.08         0.10         

LAL                   5            5            5            3            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 20                      SW 22        

DISPERSION                         46 GEN GOOD               96 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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