

865 

FNUS54 KMRX 280753

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

353 AM EDT MON APR 28 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A LARGE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS WILL MOVE

VERY SLOWLY EAST THROUGH MID WEEK...BRINGING A PROLONGED PERIOD

OF VERY WET WEATHER TO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. SCATTERED 

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE FROM LATE THIS 

AFTERNOON INTO TUESDAY AFTERNOON. 



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-290900-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

353 AM EDT MON APR 28 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (-3)   55-60 (0)    70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (+6)   93-98 (+4)   45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G18                  S  9 G23     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G20     S 10 G20     S 10 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           90           90           

PRECIP DURATION       2            3            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         0.43         0.48         

LAL                   4            5            5            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 20                      S 23         

DISPERSION            51 GEN GOOD               62 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS

IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-290900-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

353 AM EDT MON APR 28 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (-4)   55-60 (+1)   69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+13)  93-98 (+6)   46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G17                  SW  8 G25    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G23     S 13 G25     S  9 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           90           90           

PRECIP DURATION       2            3            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.30         0.72         

LAL                   4            5            5            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 22                      S 18         

DISPERSION            51 GEN GOOD               44 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS

IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-290900-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

353 AM EDT MON APR 28 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (-2)   55-60 (+3)   70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (+6)   90-95 (+1)   40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G21                  SW  9 G24    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 14 G28     S 16 G32     SW 11 G22    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           100          90           

PRECIP DURATION       2            4            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.72         0.82         

LAL                   4            5            5            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 31                      S 20         

DISPERSION            46 GEN GOOD               46 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-290900-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

353 AM EDT MON APR 28 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (+2)   57-62 (+3)   73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+6)   90-95 (-4)   46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G21                  SW  9 G22    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 15 G25     S 14 G28     S 12 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           100          90           

PRECIP DURATION       3            5            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.24         1.02         0.95         

LAL                   4            5            5            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 29                      S 22         

DISPERSION            67 GOOD                   50 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S

TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-290900-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

353 AM EDT MON APR 28 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (+1)   57-62 (+5)   72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (+4)   90-95 (-5)   46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G19                  SW  9 G23    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 13 G22     S 13 G26     S 12 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           100          100          

PRECIP DURATION       3            5            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.68         1.21         

LAL                   4            5            5            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 25                      S 20         

DISPERSION            76 GOOD                   53 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-290900-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

353 AM EDT MON APR 28 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (-3)   56-61 (0)    73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (+11)  93-98 (+1)   42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G17                  SW  8 G20    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G21     S  9 G18     S  8 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           90           90           

PRECIP DURATION       2            3            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.56         0.57         

LAL                   4            5            5            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 20                      S 20         

DISPERSION            54 GEN GOOD               53 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-290900-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

353 AM EDT MON APR 28 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (-2)   59-64 (+2)   75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (+8)   84-89 (-5)   36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G20                  SW  9 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G23     S 10 G21     SW 10 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           100          80           

PRECIP DURATION       3            5            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.29         1.37         0.48         

LAL                   5            5            5            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 28                      S 23         

DISPERSION            82 GOOD                   59 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-290900-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

353 AM EDT MON APR 28 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (+2)   59-64 (+1)   75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-1)   86-91 (-5)   38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G22                  SW  9 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 14 G25     S 12 G24     S 10 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           100          70           

PRECIP DURATION       3            8            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.41         1.89         0.57         

LAL                   5            5            5            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 29                      S 28         

DISPERSION            87 GOOD                   66 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TG/TD



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