

530 

FNUS54 KMRX 270845

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

445 AM EDT SUN APR 27 2014



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE YIELDS TO A SLOW MOVING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER

THE CENTRAL PLAINS. MANY AREAS REMAIN DRY TDOAY...BUT SHOWERS AND

A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FOR AT LEAST SOUTHERN AND WESTERN

PARTS OF EAST TENNESSEE. THE LARGE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL BRING

A PROLONGED PERIOD OF WET WEATHER...ESPECIALLY FROM SUNDAY NIGHT

RIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-281000-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

445 AM EDT SUN APR 27 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (+2)   53-58 (+8)   73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (+2)   90-95 (+10)  43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  8 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         S  9 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           50           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.18         

LAL                   1            4            4            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7400                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  6                     S 17         

DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   46 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-281000-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

445 AM EDT SUN APR 27 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (+3)   53-58 (+8)   70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (+4)   87-92 (+5)   47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  9 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  7         S  9 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           40           50           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.15         

LAL                   1            3            4            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8200                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  7                     S 16         

DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   37 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-281000-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

445 AM EDT SUN APR 27 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (+3)   52-57 (+5)   70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (+2)   90-95 (+7)   42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S 13 G26     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  7 G15     S 13 G28     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           40           50           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.04         0.15         

LAL                   3            3            4            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8200                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     S 22         

DISPERSION            36 FAIR                   32 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. COOLER. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-281000-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

445 AM EDT SUN APR 27 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (+2)   54-59 (+8)   74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (+5)   95-100 (+7)  48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      S 12 G23     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G16     S  6 G15     S 13 G26     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           40           50           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.07         0.21         

LAL                   3            3            4            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7600                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     S 22         

DISPERSION            51 GEN GOOD               54 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO

UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-281000-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

445 AM EDT SUN APR 27 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (+2)   52-57 (+7)   74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (+3)   95-100 (+5)  44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      S 10 G20     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8         S  6 G15     S 11 G23     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           40           40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.07         0.14         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8400                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     S 21         

DISPERSION            50 GEN GOOD               63 GOOD      

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER

70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-281000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

445 AM EDT SUN APR 27 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (+3)   54-59 (+10)  76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (+4)   93-98 (0)    43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  7 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  9 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           50           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.16         

LAL                   1            3            4            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7200                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  6                     S 14         

DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   38 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-281000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

445 AM EDT SUN APR 27 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (+2)   57-62 (+8)   76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (+3)   86-91 (+1)   45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  9 G21     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G15     S  5 G15     SW 12 G24    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           50           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.08         0.25         

LAL                   3            4            4            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6800                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     S 23         

DISPERSION            46 GEN GOOD               70 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER

70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. COOLER. LOWS

IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-281000-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

445 AM EDT SUN APR 27 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (+2)   58-63 (+9)   76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (+9)   90-95 (+7)   47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5                     S 11 G21     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G18     S  6         S 11 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.09         0.38         

LAL                   3            3            4            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6600                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     S 26         

DISPERSION            57 GEN GOOD               80 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER

80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TG/TD



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