

819 

FNUS54 KMRX 250146

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

946 PM EDT THU APR 24 2014



.DISCUSSION...

CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA AS 

A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. THIS FRONT WILL SPREAD SHOWERS

AND POSSIBLY A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION

ON FRIDAY. DRY CONDITIONS WILL RETURN BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON...WITH MILD

AND PLEASANT CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR THE WEEKEND.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-260300-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

946 PM EDT THU APR 24 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+12)  66-71 (-5)   41-46        73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+16)  39-44 (+21)  95-100       27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G20                  W  8 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 12 G20     NW  8 G19    W 11 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           80           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            3                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          2 AM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.32         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   5            5            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      8300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 31                     W 22         

DISPERSION                         111 VERY GOOD             118 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-260300-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

946 PM EDT THU APR 24 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+12)  64-69 (-6)   43-48        70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+13)  44-49 (+21)  86-91        25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  9 G18                 W  8 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         W 12 G24     NW 12 G25    W 10 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           80           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            3                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          2 AM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.30         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   5            5            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6300                      8300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 28                     NW 21        

DISPERSION                         85 GOOD                   105 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-260300-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

946 PM EDT THU APR 24 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+14)  64-69 (-6)   40-45        70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+8)   50-55 (+29)  90-95        29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 11 G23                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         W 11 G23     NW  9 G18    W  8 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           80           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            3                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          2 AM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.27         0.20         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   5            5            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      8100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 30                     NW 12        

DISPERSION                         74 GOOD                   54 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH INCREASING TO 5 TO 15 MPH EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-260300-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

946 PM EDT THU APR 24 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+13)  68-73 (-4)   42-47        75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+11)  48-53 (+28)  90-95        27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  9 G20                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         NW 10 G20    NW  6        SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           80           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            3                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          11 PM        CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.45         0.11         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   5            5            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      6800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 25                      W  6         

DISPERSION                         84 GOOD                   25 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER

50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-260300-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

946 PM EDT THU APR 24 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+12)  68-73 (-3)   40-45        75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+11)  49-54 (+27)  92-97        29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  9 G18                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 10 G18     NW  8 G16    SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           80           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            3                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          11 PM        CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.45         0.10         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   5            5            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      8200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 24                      NW  8        

DISPERSION                         77 GOOD                   42 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI                          4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER

80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-260300-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

946 PM EDT THU APR 24 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+13)  68-73 (-4)   40-45        75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+13)  45-50 (+25)  95-100       28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  9 G19                 SW  6 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 11 G20     W  7 G17     W  9 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           80           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            3                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          2 AM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.29         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   5            5            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      6600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 31                     W 15         

DISPERSION                         120 VERY GOOD             66 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER

50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS

IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-260300-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

946 PM EDT THU APR 24 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+14)  68-73 (-5)   42-47        76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+10)  45-50 (+24)  95-100       25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  9 G19                 SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 10 G19     NW  5        SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       4            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          11 PM        CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   5 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.14         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   5            5            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 29                      W  9         

DISPERSION                         113 VERY GOOD             40 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER

50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-260300-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

946 PM EDT THU APR 24 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+13)  69-74 (-5)   41-46        77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+9)   45-50 (+22)  95-100       23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G17                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW 10 G17    NW  5        SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           40           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       4            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          11 PM        CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   5 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.39         0.07         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   5            5            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 25                      SW  5        

DISPERSION                         99 GOOD                   17 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER

50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



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