

411 

FNUS54 KMRX 240854

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

454 AM EDT THU APR 24 2014



.DISCUSSION...



...AFTERNOON RHS LOW BUT RECOVERING...



RHS WILL FALL INTO THE 20 TO 30 PERCENT RANGE THIS AFTERNOON BUT

LOW LEVEL MOUSTURE WILL SLOWLY INCREASE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

OTHERWISE...HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION TODAY 

WILL PROVIDE ANOTHER SUNNY AND MILD DAY.  A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL 

BRING SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A FEW THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA LATE 

TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-251000-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

454 AM EDT THU APR 24 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (+9)   48-53 (+13)  67-72        

RH % (24H TREND)      22-27 (+3)   88-93 (+16)  44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  9 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      W 12         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           60           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.07         0.28         

LAL                   1            2            2            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     SW 29        

DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   100 GOOD     



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 50.

HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-251000-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

454 AM EDT THU APR 24 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (+9)   46-51 (+13)  65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (+4)   88-93 (+12)  45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  8 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         S  5         W 12 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           70           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         0.24         

LAL                   1            2            2            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     SW 26        

DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   77 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER

50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-251000-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

454 AM EDT THU APR 24 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (+7)   49-54 (+15)  64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      26-31 (+5)   82-87 (+5)   48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW 10        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         W 12         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           50           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.13         0.08         

LAL                   1            2            2            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6300                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     SW 29        

DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   69 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER

50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.



$$



TNZ087-102-251000-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

454 AM EDT THU APR 24 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (+4)   52-57 (+14)  68-73        

RH % (24H TREND)      26-31 (+6)   83-88 (+8)   47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5                     SW  8        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         S  6         W  9         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           50           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.19         0.07         

LAL                   1            2            2            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 16                      SW 24        

DISPERSION            54 GEN GOOD               79 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER

50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-251000-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

454 AM EDT THU APR 24 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (+4)   51-56 (+13)  68-73        

RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (+5)   84-89 (+10)  48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5                     SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         LGT/VAR      W  9         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           50           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.16         0.07         

LAL                   1            2            2            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 15                      SW 23        

DISPERSION            52 GEN GOOD               73 GOOD      

MAX LVORI             3                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 50. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-251000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

454 AM EDT THU APR 24 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (+7)   50-55 (+14)  69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      24-29 (+5)   86-91 (+11)  45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  8 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W 12         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           60           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.09         0.19         

LAL                   1            2            2            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     SW 29        

DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   108 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-251000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

454 AM EDT THU APR 24 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (+5)   53-58 (+15)  69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (+8)   81-86 (+7)   44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  9        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        S  5         W 10         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           40           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       11 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   5 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.20         0.08         

LAL                   1            2            2            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 13                      SW 26        

DISPERSION            49 GEN GOOD               103 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS

IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-251000-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

454 AM EDT THU APR 24 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (+4)   54-59 (+14)  69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (+9)   81-86 (+5)   45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5                     SW  8        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         S  5         W  9         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       11 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   5 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.27         0.05         

LAL                   1            2            2            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 16                      W 23         

DISPERSION            63 GOOD                   90 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER

60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.

HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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