

975 

FNUS54 KMRX 231424

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1024 AM EDT WED APR 23 2014



.DISCUSSION...



...LOW RHS TODAY...



DRY AIR MOVING IN BEHIND YESTERDAY'S COLD FRONT WILL ALLOW RHS 

TO FALL TO AROUND THE 20 PERCENT RANGE THIS AFTERNOON.  

ADDITIONALLY...HIGHER ELEVATIONS COULD SEE OCCASIONAL WIND 

GUSTS OF 15 TO 20 KTS THIS MORNING.  OTHERWISE...MILD AND PLEASANT 

CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 

THROUGH THURSDAY...AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE AREA. A 

COLD FRONT WILL BRING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO 

THE AREA LATE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-241530-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1024 AM EDT WED APR 23 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (-3)   36-41 (-2)   70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      18-23 (-26)  81-86 (+5)   25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  8 G16                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G16    LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 21                     S  7         

DISPERSION            70 GOOD                   25 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S

TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-241530-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1024 AM EDT WED APR 23 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (-2)   35-40 (-3)   66-71        

RH % (24H TREND)      18-23 (-30)  77-82 (0)    27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  9 G18                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G19    N  5         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 23                     SW  8        

DISPERSION            63 GOOD                   26 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-241530-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1024 AM EDT WED APR 23 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (+1)   36-41 (-3)   67-72        

RH % (24H TREND)      18-23 (-30)  77-82 (-7)   33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  7 G15                  W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  7         LGT/VAR      W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5700                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 17                      SW 10        

DISPERSION            39 FAIR                   27 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-241530-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1024 AM EDT WED APR 23 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (+2)   39-44 (-2)   71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      18-23 (-29)  78-83 (-16)  33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  8         NE  5        SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 20                      S 13         

DISPERSION            57 GEN GOOD               41 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-241530-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1024 AM EDT WED APR 23 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (+2)   39-44 (-2)   72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      19-24 (-29)  74-79 (-22)  34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  7         LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 18                      S 10         

DISPERSION            54 GEN GOOD               35 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             2                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S

TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-241530-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1024 AM EDT WED APR 23 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (-2)   37-42 (-2)   72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      18-23 (-29)  78-83 (-3)   26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 17                     SW  7        

DISPERSION            65 GOOD                   29 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S

TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-241530-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1024 AM EDT WED APR 23 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (+1)   38-43 (-3)   72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      18-23 (-31)  77-82 (-7)   27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  7         LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 17                      SW 10        

DISPERSION            62 GOOD                   42 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-241530-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1024 AM EDT WED APR 23 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (+2)   40-45 (-3)   72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      18-23 (-31)  80-85 (-10)  28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         NE  5        S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 18                      S 14         

DISPERSION            66 GOOD                   55 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



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