

848 

FNUS54 KMRX 230151 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

951 PM EDT TUE APR 22 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT MOVES SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS 

OVERNIGHT...AFTER PRODUCING RATHER SPOTTY AND SPARSE RAINFALL

AMOUNTS OVER THE REGION. DRY WEATHER ON TAP FOR WEDNESDAY AND

THURSDAY...WITH MINIMUM AFTERNOON HUMIDITIES DROPPING TO OR BELOW 

25 PERCENT ON WEDNESDAY. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL BRING ADDITIONAL 

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS LATE THURSDAY NIGHT 

INTO FRIDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-240300-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

951 PM EDT TUE APR 22 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-8)   62-67 (-3)   37-42        71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (-4)   22-27 (-26)  75-80        27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G17                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G21    NW  9 G16    LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6700                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 21                     SW  9        

DISPERSION                         86 GOOD                   28 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH

SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-240300-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

951 PM EDT TUE APR 22 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-6)   61-66 (-2)   36-41        69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (-5)   23-28 (-29)  76-81        27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 11 G22                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G23    NW 11 G22    LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7100                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 24                     SW  9        

DISPERSION                         91 GOOD                   22 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS 10 TO

20 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-240300-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

951 PM EDT TUE APR 22 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-5)   62-67 (0)    37-42        69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-1)   23-28 (-30)  76-81        30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  7 G15                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G17    N  7 G15     LGT/VAR      SW  5 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 16                      SW 12        

DISPERSION                         40 FAIR                   23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-240300-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

951 PM EDT TUE APR 22 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-4)   66-71 (0)    40-45        71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  21-26 (-31)  73-78        30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 10 G18                  SE  8 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6 G17    N  9 G17     LGT/VAR      S  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 20                      S 16         

DISPERSION                         55 GEN GOOD               45 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 50. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-240300-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

951 PM EDT TUE APR 22 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (0)    66-71 (+1)   39-44        71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  21-26 (-31)  72-77        30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  9 G16                  SE  7 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7 G17    N  7 G16     LGT/VAR      S  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 18                      S 15         

DISPERSION                         52 GEN GOOD               41 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI                          4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 50. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-240300-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

951 PM EDT TUE APR 22 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-8)   65-70 (-2)   38-43        73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-3)   22-27 (-30)  77-82        27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6 G15                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G18    NW  7 G15    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     SW  9        

DISPERSION                         67 GOOD                   30 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH

SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-240300-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

951 PM EDT TUE APR 22 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-11)  66-71 (-1)   39-44        73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+9)   22-27 (-32)  76-81        29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      S  5 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7 G17    N  6         LGT/VAR      SW  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 15                      S 14         

DISPERSION                         56 GEN GOOD               41 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

NORTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-240300-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

951 PM EDT TUE APR 22 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-9)   68-73 (0)    41-46        73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+10)  21-26 (-33)  74-79        30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE  9 G16                 SE  7 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7 G15    NE  7 G15    LGT/VAR      S  9         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 18                     S 18         

DISPERSION                         55 GEN GOOD               54 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS NEAR 80. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS NEAR 70. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 



$$



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