

737 

FNUS54 KMRX 211905

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

305 PM EDT MON APR 21 2014



...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND BREEZY WINDS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY...



.DISCUSSION...

CLOUDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 

TONIGHT...AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. THIS FRONT WILL 

BRING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA ON TUESDAY...AND WILL 

THEN EXIT THE REGION TUESDAY EVENING. PLEASANT AND TRANQUIL CONDITIONS 

WILL RETURN FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-222015-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

305 PM EDT MON APR 21 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+9)   66-71 (-8)   37-42        64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+20)  42-47 (+22)  85-90        26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G15                 NW  9 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        W  9 G17     NW 11 G20    NW 10 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           70           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          2 AM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.21         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            4            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6300                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      NW 21        

DISPERSION                         64 GOOD                   51 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 40. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN 

THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S

TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN 

THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-222015-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

305 PM EDT MON APR 21 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+9)   65-70 (-5)   36-41        63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (+16)  44-49 (+20)  86-91        27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7 G15                  NW 12 G24    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 10 G19     NW 13 G24    NW 12 G24    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          5 AM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.20         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            4            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7000                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 21                      NW 23        

DISPERSION                         75 GOOD                   44 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN 

THE 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S

TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN 

THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-222015-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

305 PM EDT MON APR 21 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+10)  64-69 (-5)   38-43        63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (+1)   41-46 (+12)  83-88        26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8 G17                  N  7 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6 G15     W 10 G19     NW 10 G19    N  7 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          5 AM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.25         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            4            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6800                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 20                      N 18         

DISPERSION                         64 GOOD                   30 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. EAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN 

THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO 

MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN 

THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-222015-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

305 PM EDT MON APR 21 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+10)  68-73 (-5)   41-46        66-71        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (0)    44-49 (+16)  81-86        26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G15                 N 10 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        W  9 G16     N 10 G19     N  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          5 AM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.28         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            4            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 15                      N 21         

DISPERSION                         48 GEN GOOD               43 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN 

THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO

MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN 

THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-222015-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

305 PM EDT MON APR 21 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+10)  68-73 (-6)   40-45        66-71        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (0)    41-46 (+14)  83-88        26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7                      N 11 G20     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  9 G16     NW 10 G20    N  8 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          5 AM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.26         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            4            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6500                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      N 21         

DISPERSION                         51 GEN GOOD               43 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI                          4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN 

THE 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO 

MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN 

THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-222015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

305 PM EDT MON APR 21 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+12)  68-73 (-7)   38-43        66-71        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+9)   44-49 (+21)  86-91        26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G15                 NW  6 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 10         NW  8 G16    NW  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          5 AM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.22         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            2            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 18                      NW 17        

DISPERSION                         65 GOOD                   53 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH...

SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN 

THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN 

THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-222015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

305 PM EDT MON APR 21 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+11)  68-73 (-6)   40-45        67-72        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-3)   46-51 (+19)  83-88        26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7                     N  6 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        NW  9 G17    N  8 G17     N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           70           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          11 PM        CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.18         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            4            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      N 17         

DISPERSION                         57 GEN GOOD               50 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN 

THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN 

THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-222015-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

305 PM EDT MON APR 21 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+11)  69-74 (-6)   41-46        69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (0)    47-52 (+17)  82-87        25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     N  9 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  8 G15    N  8 G16     N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           70           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            3                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          11 PM        CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.19         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            4            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 16                      N 17         

DISPERSION                         49 GEN GOOD               46 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S. EAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

WARMER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN 

THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN 

THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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