

413 

FNUS54 KMRX 181903

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

303 PM EDT FRI APR 18 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BE TRACKING TO OUR SOUTH AND 

SOUTHEAST THROUGH SATURDAY...BRINGING CLOUDS AND A CHANCE OF RAIN TO 

THE MOUNTAINS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FOR SUNDAY. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-192015-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

303 PM EDT FRI APR 18 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+5)   63-68 (+5)   44-49        70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+19)  35-40 (+7)   82-87        26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE  9 G18                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NE  9 G16    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                                          

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      6800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E 15                      NE  7        

DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   27 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-192015-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

303 PM EDT FRI APR 18 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+5)   56-61 (+2)   42-47        66-71        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+20)  50-55 (+14)  79-84        29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  E  9 G18                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      E  9 G16     E  5         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           40           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      7100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E 15                      NE  6        

DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   21 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-192015-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

303 PM EDT FRI APR 18 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+5)   56-61 (+2)   43-48        68-73        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+14)  48-53 (+10)  84-89        30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  E  9 G18                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  5        NE 10 G19    E  5         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      7700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E 18                      NW  5        

DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   21 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-192015-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

303 PM EDT FRI APR 18 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+2)   60-65 (+2)   45-50        71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+14)  46-51 (+5)   88-93        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NE  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      7300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 15                     NW  7        

DISPERSION                         32 FAIR                   28 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST LESS THAN 10 MPH

EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S

TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-192015-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

303 PM EDT FRI APR 18 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+5)   59-64 (+1)   44-49        70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+11)  46-51 (+5)   91-96        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE  7 G16                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NE  7 G15    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           40           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       8            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.04         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      8000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 16                     NW  5        

DISPERSION                         34 FAIR                   23 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 70S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST LESS THAN 10 MPH

EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-192015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

303 PM EDT FRI APR 18 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+5)   62-67 (+3)   44-49        71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+19)  40-45 (+6)   86-91        29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE  8 G17                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NE  8 G16    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      6700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E 15                      NE  5        

DISPERSION                         44 GEN GOOD               21 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-192015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

303 PM EDT FRI APR 18 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+3)   65-70 (+4)   45-50        71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+7)   32-37 (-3)   86-91        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE 10 G19                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NE  9 G18    NE  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                                          

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 17                     N  5         

DISPERSION                         53 GEN GOOD               18 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-192015-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

303 PM EDT FRI APR 18 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+1)   65-70 (+5)   46-51        73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (+10)  35-40 (-4)   87-92        34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE 10 G22                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  5        NE  8 G19    NE  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            8 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 17                     NW  6        

DISPERSION                         52 GEN GOOD               25 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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