

382 

FNUS54 KMRX 170106

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

906 PM EDT WED APR 16 2014



...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY EXPECTED ON THURSDAY...



.DISCUSSION...

A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIANS...PRODUCING DRY CONDITIONS INTO THURSDAY. 

MINIUMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES THURSDAY AFTERNOON WILL FALL INTO

THE 15 TO 25 PERCENT RANGE IN MOST SPOTS...ALTHOUGH WINDS ARE 

EXPECTED TO BE LESS THAN 10 MPH.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-180215-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

906 PM EDT WED APR 16 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (+4)   61-66 (+9)   34-39        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (-1)   18-23 (-9)   76-81        30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  6        SE  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 2 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 13                     W  8         

DISPERSION                         43 GEN GOOD               26 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS NEAR 70. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-180215-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

906 PM EDT WED APR 16 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (+5)   58-63 (+7)   34-39        61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (-7)   19-24 (-6)   71-76        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  7                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        SE  8        SE  7        NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 2 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 15                     W  8         

DISPERSION                         46 GEN GOOD               20 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-180215-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

906 PM EDT WED APR 16 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (+5)   58-63 (+5)   36-41        61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (-14)  15-20 (-9)   79-84        35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         S  5         N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 2 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  8                      N  8         

DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-180215-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

906 PM EDT WED APR 16 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (+4)   61-66 (+4)   39-44        63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (+2)   22-27 (-5)   77-82        38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  6        LGT/VAR      N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 13                     E  8         

DISPERSION                         37 FAIR                   21 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-180215-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

906 PM EDT WED APR 16 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (+2)   61-66 (+5)   39-44        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (+3)   19-24 (-8)   77-82        38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  7        LGT/VAR      NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 15                     SE  6        

DISPERSION                         43 GEN GOOD               16 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI                          2                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-180215-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

906 PM EDT WED APR 16 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (+2)   61-66 (+6)   36-41        64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      73-78 (+1)   18-23 (-7)   79-84        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 2 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 13                     NW  7        

DISPERSION                         45 GEN GOOD               23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

50. HIGHS NEAR 70. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S

TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-180215-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

906 PM EDT WED APR 16 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (+5)   62-67 (+7)   38-43        64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      73-78 (-1)   20-25 (-5)   81-86        36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  8                     N  7         

DISPERSION                         30 FAIR                   24 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. LIGHT WINDS

BECOMING NORTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-180215-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

906 PM EDT WED APR 16 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (+5)   62-67 (+6)   40-45        65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (+5)   24-29 (+2)   79-84        39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 14                     SE  9        

DISPERSION                         49 GEN GOOD               31 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



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