

243 

FNUS54 KMRX 160706

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

306 AM EDT WED APR 16 2014



.DISCUSSION...

FOR TODAY AND THURSDAY...VERY LOW AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES

CAN BE EXPECTED.



A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIANS PRODUCING DRY CONDITIONS TODAY AND THURSDAY. ANOTHER 

COLD NIGHT IS IN STORE FOR TONIGHT WITH AREAS OF FROST EXPECTED ARE-

WIDE. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-170815-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

306 AM EDT WED APR 16 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+8)   28-33 (+5)   61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      16-21 (-34)  72-77 (-3)   23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  5         SE  5        SE  7        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 10                      SE  8        

DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               29 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.

LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-170815-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

306 AM EDT WED APR 16 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (0)    27-32 (+6)   59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      14-19 (-39)  74-79 (-6)   24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  7 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        SE  6        SE  9 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  8                      SE 10        

DISPERSION            8 POOR                    32 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

NORTH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.

LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.



$$



TNZ072-074-170815-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

306 AM EDT WED APR 16 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+11)  27-32 (+6)   58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      7-12 (-47)   74-79 (-11)  26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  7                      S  6         

DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               15 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-170815-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

306 AM EDT WED APR 16 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+16)  29-34 (+4)   61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      16-21 (-30)  85-90 (+8)   27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  6                     SE  9        

DISPERSION            9 POOR                    33 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

NORTH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-170815-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

306 AM EDT WED APR 16 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+8)   27-32 (+2)   60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      14-19 (-29)  85-90 (+7)   27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        SE  6        SE  7        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  8                     SE 10        

DISPERSION            11 POOR                   35 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             3                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.

LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-170815-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

306 AM EDT WED APR 16 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+9)   27-32 (+3)   62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      14-19 (-34)  83-88 (+7)   24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   E  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 10                      SE  8        

DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   33 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-170815-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

306 AM EDT WED APR 16 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+18)  30-35 (+6)   62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      14-19 (-26)  81-86 (+3)   25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 10                      SE  6        

DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-170815-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

306 AM EDT WED APR 16 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+17)  31-36 (+6)   63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      16-21 (-19)  84-89 (+9)   26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         S  6         SE  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 10                      SE 13        

DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   54 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS AROUND 70. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



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