

989 

FNUS54 KMRX 151917

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

315 PM EDT TUE APR 15 2014



.DISCUSSION...

.SYNOPSIS...MUCH COLDER AIR WILL SWEEP INTO THE AREA TONIGHT BEHIND 

A DEPARTED COLD FRONT. SUB FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED AREA-

WIDE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING. DRY CONDITIONS AND A WARMING 

TREND ARE ANTICIPATED WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-162015-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

315 PM EDT TUE APR 15 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLEAR        CLEAR        CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (-20)  55-60 (+10)  29-34        64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (-12)  18-23 (-40)  74-79        15-20        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N 10 G20     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  8                      SE  8        

DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               29 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-162015-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

315 PM EDT TUE APR 15 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (-24)  52-57 (+3)   27-32        58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-5)   17-22 (-45)  77-82        17-22        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  7 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 15 G29    SE  6        SE  7 G16    SE  9 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  8                      SE 10        

DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    32 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-162015-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

315 PM EDT TUE APR 15 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (-23)  55-60 (+7)   28-33        59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (-2)   15-20 (-50)  78-83        18-23        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N 12 G23     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  6                      S  6         

DISPERSION                         5 VERY POOR               15 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

NORTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-162015-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

315 PM EDT TUE APR 15 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-21)  57-62 (+8)   29-34        63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (-12)  17-22 (-37)  83-88        19-24        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N 13 G23     LGT/VAR      SE  5        SE  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  6                     SE  9        

DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    33 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO

THE WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-162015-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

315 PM EDT TUE APR 15 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-22)  56-61 (+6)   28-33        63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (-10)  17-22 (-34)  82-87        20-25        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  7 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N 14 G27     S  6         SE  5        SE  9        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  8                     SE 10        

DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   35 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          3                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST

EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-162015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

315 PM EDT TUE APR 15 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (-22)  57-62 (+9)   27-32        64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-13)  16-21 (-41)  86-91        19-24        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  8 G18     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  9                      SE  8        

DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               33 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-162015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

315 PM EDT TUE APR 15 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (-18)  58-63 (+14)  30-35        63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (-10)  16-21 (-32)  92-97        21-26        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  E  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  8 G17     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  9                      SE  6        

DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 40S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-162015-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

315 PM EDT TUE APR 15 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-18)  58-63 (+11)  31-36        64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (-12)  16-21 (-27)  85-90        22-27        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  E  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  8 G19     S  5         S  5         SE  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E 10                      SE 13        

DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   54 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.



$$



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