

167 

FNUS54 KMRX 151442

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1042 AM EDT TUE APR 15 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE TENNESSEE 

VALLEY TODAY PRODUCING WIDESPREAD SHOWERS. THE RAIN WILL 

SLOWLY DIMINISH THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE RAIN WILL MIX WITH 

OR CHANGE TO SNOW ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS...GENERALLY ABOVE 

2500 FEET. MUCH COLDER AIR WILL SWEEP INTO THE AREA THROUGH THE DAY

WITH FREEZING TEMPERATURES EXPECTED AREA-WIDE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY 

MORNING. DRY CONDITIONS AND WARMER TEMPERATURES ARE ANTICIPATED

WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-161545-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1042 AM EDT TUE APR 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (-24)  23-28 (-20)  55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-2)   77-82 (-17)  17-22        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 13 G23                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 14 G25    N 10 G20     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 25                     NE 10        

DISPERSION            41 GEN GOOD               22 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. AREAS OF FROST. LOWS IN THE 20S TO

UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-161545-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1042 AM EDT TUE APR 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-19)  21-26 (-24)  53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-12)  83-88 (-11)  16-21        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 13 G28                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 17 G31    NW 15 G29    SE  5        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SPRINKLES    NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.24         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 26                     E  8         

DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   14 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. AREAS OF FROST. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-161545-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1042 AM EDT TUE APR 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (-19)  21-26 (-23)  54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-13)  85-90 (-9)   9-14         

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 12 G22                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N 15 G29     N 12 G23     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SPRINKLES    NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 28                     E  8         

DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   11 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. AREAS OF FROST. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID

30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-161545-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1042 AM EDT TUE APR 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-21)  25-30 (-21)  58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-16)  76-81 (-17)  16-21        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N 15 G32                  SE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N 18 G32     N 13 G23     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            4 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 30                      SE  6        

DISPERSION            44 GEN GOOD               11 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. AREAS OF FROST. LOWS IN THE 20S TO

UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-161545-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1042 AM EDT TUE APR 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-19)  25-30 (-22)  58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-17)  75-80 (-19)  13-18        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N 16 G31                  E  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N 19 G33     N 14 G27     SE  5        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            4 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 30                      SE  8        

DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   15 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI             4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. AREAS OF FROST. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S

TO MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-161545-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1042 AM EDT TUE APR 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (-23)  24-29 (-22)  58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-10)  79-84 (-15)  16-21        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 12 G21                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 13 G23    N  8 G18     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            4 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 22                     E 10         

DISPERSION            43 GEN GOOD               26 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. AREAS OF FROST. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID

30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-161545-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1042 AM EDT TUE APR 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (-26)  24-29 (-18)  57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-14)  81-86 (-12)  16-21        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N 12 G23                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N 13 G24     N  8 G17     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            2 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 24                      E 13         

DISPERSION            56 GEN GOOD               33 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-161545-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1042 AM EDT TUE APR 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-23)  25-30 (-18)  57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-18)  76-81 (-15)  18-23        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N 16 G28                  E  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N 16 G28     N  8 G19     S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            2 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 29                      E 12         

DISPERSION            70 GOOD                   28 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



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