

981 

FNUS54 KMRX 141904

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

304 PM EDT MON APR 14 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE TENNESSEE 

VALLEY TONIGHT PRODUCING WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A THUNDERSTORM.

MUCH COLDER AIR WILL SWEEP INTO THE AREA TUESDAY WITH RAIN SHOWERS 

BECOMING MIXED WITH OR CHANGING TO SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE HIGHER

ELEVATIONS.

A COLD RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIANS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING PRODUCING A 

WIDESPREAD FREEZE AND FROST.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-152015-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

304 PM EDT MON APR 14 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-12)  44-49 (-25)  20-25        55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+16) 54-59 (+12)  83-88        17-22        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 10 G23                 NE  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G18     NW 12 G22    N 10 G21     E  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            5                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.72         0.24         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      6700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 23                     NE 12        

DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   46 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. PATCHY FROST. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO

MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-152015-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

304 PM EDT MON APR 14 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (-6)   49-54 (-19)  19-24        53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+14) 50-55 (-1)   86-91        16-21        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 10 G21                 NE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G17     NW 15 G29    NW 14 G30    SE  7 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            5                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.81         0.31         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      6700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 24                     NE  8        

DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   29 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. PATCHY FROST. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO

MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

EAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH LESS THAN 10 MPH

AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-152015-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

304 PM EDT MON APR 14 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-9)   48-53 (-19)  19-24        54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+18) 46-51 (-7)   88-93        9-14         

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 10 G20                 E  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         N 12 G24     N 11 G25     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       7            4                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.94         0.20         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      6800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 23                     E  7         

DISPERSION                         32 FAIR                   24 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. PATCHY FROST. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER

30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-152015-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

304 PM EDT MON APR 14 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (-10)  49-54 (-21)  23-28        58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+18) 42-47 (-14)  83-88        16-21        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 12 G23                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5 G17     N 14 G25     N 11 G23     S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       7            3                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         1.01         0.14         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   3            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      6700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 28                      E  7         

DISPERSION                         57 GEN GOOD               27 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.

EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-152015-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

304 PM EDT MON APR 14 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-7)   50-55 (-19)  23-28        56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+15) 39-44 (-17)  83-88        14-19        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 11 G24                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6 G20     N 16 G28     N 13 G27     SE  8        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       7            3                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         1.07         0.16         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      6700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 28                      E  7         

DISPERSION                         49 GEN GOOD               29 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-152015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

304 PM EDT MON APR 14 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (-8)   48-53 (-23)  22-27        58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+11) 49-54 (-2)   85-90        16-21        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 10 G24                 NE  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         NW 11 G20    N  7 G19     E  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            3                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.82         0.23         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      6700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 22                     E 10         

DISPERSION                         45 GEN GOOD               48 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. PATCHY FROST. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER

30S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-152015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

304 PM EDT MON APR 14 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-15)  44-49 (-26)  23-28        57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+17) 46-51 (-9)   87-92        16-21        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 11 G24                 E  8 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G15     N 12 G22     N  7 G17     SE  5 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       7            3                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   5 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.88         0.13         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   3            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      6700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 25                      E 12         

DISPERSION                         71 GOOD                   55 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-152015-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

304 PM EDT MON APR 14 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-14)  47-52 (-23)  25-30        58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+18) 42-47 (-14)  84-89        16-21        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 14 G25                  NE  9 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G15     N 13 G24     N  8 G17     SE  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.87         0.06         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   3            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      6700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 29                      E 12         

DISPERSION                         86 GOOD                   52 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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