

023 

FNUS54 KMRX 140745

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

345 AM EDT MON APR 14 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE TENNESSEE 

VALLEY LATE TODAY AND TONIGHT PRODUCING WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND 

POSSIBLY A THUNDERSTORM. SOME OF THE STORMS WILL PRODUCING STRONG 

GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS. MUCH COLDER AIR WILL SWEEP INTO THE 

AREA LATE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY WITH RAIN SHOWERS BECOMING MIXED WITH 

OR CHANGING TO SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.



A COLD RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIANS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING PRODUCING A 

WIDESPREAD FREEZE AND FROST.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-150845-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

345 AM EDT MON APR 14 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (-9)   42-47 (-11)  43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (+16)  95-100 (+21) 60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G18                  NW  9 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G19     LGT/VAR      NW 11 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           100          100          

PRECIP DURATION       2            5            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.79         0.25         

LAL                   3            3            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 28                      NW 21        

DISPERSION            74 GOOD                   39 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. WIDESPREAD FROST. LOWS 16 TO 28.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. EAST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY FROST. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-150845-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

345 AM EDT MON APR 14 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (-7)   46-51 (-5)   48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (+14)  95-100 (+16) 58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8                      W  9 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         S  5         NW 12 G23    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           100          100          

PRECIP DURATION       1            5            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.85         0.33         

LAL                   3            3            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 26                      NW 18        

DISPERSION            53 GEN GOOD               26 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. WIDESPREAD FROST. LOWS 16 TO 27.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST EARLY IN

THE AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY FROST. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-150845-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

345 AM EDT MON APR 14 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (-5)   43-48 (-9)   47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (+6)   95-100 (+22) 61-66        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G21                  NW 10 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G18     S  5         N 11 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           100          90           

PRECIP DURATION       2            5            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         1.10         0.22         

LAL                   3            3            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 30                      N 18         

DISPERSION            50 GEN GOOD               31 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. WIDESPREAD FROST. LOWS 17 TO 28.

NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY FROST. LOWS IN THE 20S TO

UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-150845-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

345 AM EDT MON APR 14 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (-7)   46-51 (-10)  48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+9)   95-100 (+21) 54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G19                  NW 12 G24    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G19     S  6         N 14 G26     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          80           

PRECIP DURATION       3            8            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         1.17         0.14         

LAL                   3            3            1            

LASI                  3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 28                      N 24         

DISPERSION            60 GEN GOOD               57 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. WIDESPREAD FROST. LOWS IN THE 20S

TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. EAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS

IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-150845-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

345 AM EDT MON APR 14 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (-7)   48-53 (-6)   50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+8)   95-100 (+19) 50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G15                  NW  9 G21    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         S  5         N 12 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          80           

PRECIP DURATION       3            8            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         1.17         0.16         

LAL                   3            3            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 22                      NW 20        

DISPERSION            44 GEN GOOD               42 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI             3                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. WIDESPREAD FROST. LOWS IN THE 20S.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID

70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-150845-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

345 AM EDT MON APR 14 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (-8)   45-50 (-8)   47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (+13)  95-100 (+14) 57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6 G16                  NW 12 G23    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G17     LGT/VAR      NW 10 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           100          90           

PRECIP DURATION       1            5            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.90         0.23         

LAL                   3            3            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 24                      NW 18        

DISPERSION            68 GOOD                   42 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. WIDESPREAD FROST. LOWS 17 TO 28.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY FROST. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-150845-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

345 AM EDT MON APR 14 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (-8)   40-45 (-17)  43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (+9)   95-100 (+20) 48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G22                  NW 13 G24    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G23     LGT/VAR      N 11 G23     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          70           

PRECIP DURATION       3            8            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         1.04         0.13         

LAL                   3            3            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 32                      N 23         

DISPERSION            98 GOOD                   71 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. WIDESPREAD FROST. LOWS IN THE 20S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID

70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-150845-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

345 AM EDT MON APR 14 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (-7)   41-46 (-16)  45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (+10)  95-100 (+21) 48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G22                  N 15 G29     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G23     S  5         N 15 G29     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          60           

PRECIP DURATION       4            8            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   5 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.24         1.12         0.06         

LAL                   3            3            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 30                      N 28         

DISPERSION            81 GOOD                   91 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. WIDESPREAD FROST. LOWS IN THE MID

20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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