

052 

FNUS54 KMRX 131913

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

313 PM EDT SUN APR 13 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL GIVE WAY TO A SLOW MOVING 

COLD FRONT LATE TONIGHT AND MONDAY. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND SCATTERED 

THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT AND LINGER OVER 

THE REGION WELL INTO TUESDAY. FREEZE AND/OR FROST CONDITIONS 

EXPECTED FOR WEDNESDAY MORNING.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-142015-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

313 PM EDT SUN APR 13 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+3)   68-73 (-10)  42-47        47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+6)   46-51 (+22)  95-100       43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 11 G19                  NW 10 G21    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G20     S 10 G18     S  9 G17     NW 13 G23    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           90           90           

PRECIP DURATION                    2            8            3            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.07         0.42         0.45         

LAL                   1            5            5            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 30                      NW 21        

DISPERSION                         102 VERY GOOD             39 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FROST. LOWS 19 TO 28.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY FROST. LOWS IN THE LOWER

TO MID 30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-142015-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

313 PM EDT SUN APR 13 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+5)   66-71 (-9)   45-50        51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (+4)   48-53 (+21)  95-100       38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 11 G19                  W 10 G21     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G23     S 10 G18     S 10 G21     NW 15 G28    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           90           90           

PRECIP DURATION                    2            8            4            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.13         0.35         0.61         

LAL                   1            5            5            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 29                      NW 18        

DISPERSION                         81 GOOD                   26 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FROST. SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO UP TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY FROST. LOWS IN THE 20S TO

UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-142015-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

313 PM EDT SUN APR 13 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+5)   66-71 (-6)   45-50        50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+6)   46-51 (+11)  95-100       39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 11 G21                  NW  9 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 14 G28     S 11 G21     S  7 G19     N 12 G23     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           90           90           

PRECIP DURATION                    5            8            4            

PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.17         0.63         0.52         

LAL                   1            5            5            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 31                      N 18         

DISPERSION                         77 GOOD                   31 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FROST. SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY FROST. LOWS IN THE 30S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-142015-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

313 PM EDT SUN APR 13 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+7)   69-74 (-8)   47-52        51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (-3)   50-55 (+14)  95-100       40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 10 G18                  N 12 G23     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G24     S 10 G18     S  8 G17     N 14 G26     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           90           90           90           

PRECIP DURATION       1            5            8            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.17         0.76         0.34         

LAL                   1            5            5            1            

LASI                               3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 28                      N 24         

DISPERSION                         91 GOOD                   57 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FROST. LOWS NEAR 30.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-142015-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

313 PM EDT SUN APR 13 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+7)   69-74 (-7)   48-53        53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+1)   48-53 (+12)  95-100       39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G16                  NW 10 G22    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G21     S  9         S  7 G16     N 15 G28     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           80           90           90           

PRECIP DURATION       1            5            8            4            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.17         0.68         0.43         

LAL                   1            5            5            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6300                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 26                      NW 20        

DISPERSION                         92 GOOD                   42 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI                          3                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FROST. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTH

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S

TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-142015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

313 PM EDT SUN APR 13 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+5)   70-75 (-9)   46-51        51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+5)   46-51 (+19)  95-100       39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  9 G17                  NW  9 G23    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G15     S  9         S  5         NW 11 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           90           90           

PRECIP DURATION                    2            8            3            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.11         0.45         0.46         

LAL                   1            5            5            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 26                      NW 18        

DISPERSION                         89 GOOD                   42 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FROST. LOWS IN THE 20S TO

LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO LESS THAN

10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY FROST. LOWS IN THE 30S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-142015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

313 PM EDT SUN APR 13 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+7)   69-74 (-9)   43-48        49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (-4)   47-52 (+15)  95-100       30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 10 G20                  N 11 G23     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G20     S 10         S  7 G16     N 11 G23     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           80           90           70           

PRECIP DURATION       1            5            8            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.15         0.61         0.26         

LAL                   1            5            5            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 31                     N 23         

DISPERSION                         102 VERY GOOD             71 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY FROST. LOWS IN THE MID 20S

TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-142015-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

313 PM EDT SUN APR 13 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+6)   68-73 (-9)   44-49        50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-5)   50-55 (+16)  95-100       34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 10 G18                  N 13 G23     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G19     S  9 G16     S  9 G17     N 15 G25     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           90           90           70           

PRECIP DURATION       1            5            8            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.19         0.66         0.22         

LAL                   1            5            5            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 31                      N 28         

DISPERSION                         104 VERY GOOD             91 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY FROST. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTH

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



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