

440 

FNUS54 KMRX 130629

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

229 AM EDT SUN APR 13 2014



.DISCUSSION...

ANOTHER DAY OF LOW AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND BREEZY

SOUTHWEST WINDS EXPECTED TODAY.



A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL PRODUCE ANOTHER WARM AND 

DRY DAY TODAY.  A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE TOWARD THE AREA FOR MONDAY 

AND MONDAY NIGHT PRODUCING WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  A 

RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS FOR 

TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WITH FREEZE AND/OR FROST CONDITIONS EXPECTED 

FOR WEDNESDAY MORNING.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-140730-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

229 AM EDT SUN APR 13 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (+4)   52-57 (+2)   68-73        

RH % (24H TREND)      26-31 (-3)   87-92 (+9)   46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G17                 S 11 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G19     S 10 G20     S 10 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           

PRECIP DURATION                                 2            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            5            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 20                     S 31         

DISPERSION            62 GOOD                   106 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY FROST. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN

THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY FROST. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S

TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-140730-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

229 AM EDT SUN APR 13 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (+2)   50-55 (+4)   66-71        

RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-1)   89-94 (+9)   47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G15                  S 11 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G22     S 11 G23     S 10 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           

PRECIP DURATION                                 2            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.13         

LAL                   1            1            5            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 17                      S 30         

DISPERSION            55 GEN GOOD               84 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY FROST. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN

THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY FROST. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S

TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-140730-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

229 AM EDT SUN APR 13 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (+1)   52-57 (+5)   66-71        

RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-4)   84-89 (+9)   44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 12 G23                 S 11 G21     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 13 G24     S 14 G28     S 11 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           80           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                       5 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.16         

LAL                   1            1            5            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 24                      S 36         

DISPERSION            66 GOOD                   86 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY FROST. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN

THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-140730-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

229 AM EDT SUN APR 13 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (+2)   55-60 (+6)   69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-3)   80-85 (-4)   51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 13 G23                  S 10 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 14 G23     S 12 G24     S 10 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           90           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.18         

LAL                   1            1            5            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 26                      S 33         

DISPERSION            86 GOOD                   108 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 50. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY FROST. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN

THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS

IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.



$$



NCZ060-061-140730-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

229 AM EDT SUN APR 13 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (+3)   53-58 (+6)   69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-3)   84-89 (0)    48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 12 G21                  S  8 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 13 G21     S 11 G21     S  9         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           80           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.18         

LAL                   1            1            5            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 23                      S 30         

DISPERSION            73 GOOD                   103 VERY GOOD

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S

TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY FROST. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN

THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-140730-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

229 AM EDT SUN APR 13 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (+2)   51-56 (+3)   70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (0)    91-96 (+9)   48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6 G15                  S  9 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G19     S  8 G15     S  9         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           

PRECIP DURATION                                 2            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.09         

LAL                   1            1            5            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5700                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     S 28         

DISPERSION            63 GOOD                   95 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY FROST. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN

THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY FROST. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S

TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-140730-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

229 AM EDT SUN APR 13 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (+1)   56-61 (+6)   69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-2)   78-83 (-6)   51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 11 G22                 S 10 G20     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 13 G24     S 10 G20     S 10         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           80           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.17         

LAL                   1            1            5            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 28                     S 33         

DISPERSION            102 VERY GOOD             111 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY FROST. COLDER. LOWS NEAR

30. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-140730-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

229 AM EDT SUN APR 13 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (+2)   57-62 (+6)   69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-3)   79-84 (-6)   54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 12 G23                  S 10 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 13 G23     S 10 G19     S  9 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           90           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.23         

LAL                   1            1            5            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 29                      S 32         

DISPERSION            109 VERY GOOD             110 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY FROST. COLDER. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S

TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS NEAR 70.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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