

285 

FNUS54 KMRX 121914

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

314 PM EDT SAT APR 12 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE 

REGION PRODUCING WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE 

WEEKEND. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE 

AREA MONDAY INTO TUESDAY FOLLOWED BY MORE DRY WEATHER AND NEAR 

SEASONAL TEMPERATURES FOR MID WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-132015-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

314 PM EDT SAT APR 12 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+2)   77-82 (+3)   51-56        68-73        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (+7)   27-32 (-1)   87-92        46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G17                 S 13 G24     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G16     S 10 G18     S 10 G20     S 13 G24     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            40           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.08         

LAL                   1            1            1            4            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 22                     S 33         

DISPERSION                         78 GOOD                   74 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FROST. COLDER. LOWS NEAR

30. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-132015-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

314 PM EDT SAT APR 12 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (0)    74-79 (+1)   50-55        66-71        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (+8)   30-35 (+1)   87-92        47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7                     S 12 G22     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G18     S 10 G21     S 12 G22     S 12 G23     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            50           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.13         

LAL                   1            1            1            4            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7000                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 16                      S 33         

DISPERSION                         58 GEN GOOD               81 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FROST. SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-132015-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

314 PM EDT SAT APR 12 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+4)   72-77 (+1)   52-57        66-71        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (+6)   28-33 (-4)   81-86        43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 11 G23                 S 15 G29     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G24     S 12 G23     S 13 G28     S 10 G25     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            80           

PRECIP DURATION                                              5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.17         

LAL                   1            1            1            5            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6600                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 24                      S 38         

DISPERSION                         73 GOOD                   51 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FROST. SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-132015-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

314 PM EDT SAT APR 12 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+7)   76-81 (+1)   56-61        69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+2)   32-37 (-1)   79-84        51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 11 G20                  S 13 G25     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G20     S 12 G22     S 12 G24     S 11 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           80           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    5 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.18         

LAL                   1            1            2            5            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 26                      S 36         

DISPERSION                         91 GOOD                   52 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FROST. COLDER. LOWS IN THE

30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-132015-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

314 PM EDT SAT APR 12 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+6)   75-80 (+2)   53-58        69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (0)    31-36 (-1)   83-88        48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 10 G19                  S 11 G22     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G15     S 12 G20     S 11 G21     S 10 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           80           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    5 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.18         

LAL                   1            1            2            5            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 24                      S 31         

DISPERSION                         78 GOOD                   37 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FROST. SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-132015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

314 PM EDT SAT APR 12 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (-1)   78-83 (+1)   53-58        70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+9)   30-35 (+1)   85-90        48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6                      S 10 G21     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         S  9 G17     S  8 G15     S 10 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            50           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.12         

LAL                   1            1            1            4            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 17                     S 29         

DISPERSION                         71 GOOD                   80 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FROST. COLDER. LOWS IN THE

20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-132015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

314 PM EDT SAT APR 12 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+2)   77-82 (+1)   57-62        69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+4)   31-36 (-2)   77-82        51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  9 G20                 S 12 G23     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G17     S 11 G22     S  9 G20     S  9 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           80           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.19         

LAL                   1            1            3            5            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 28                     S 35         

DISPERSION                         109 VERY GOOD             74 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FROST. COLDER. LOWS IN THE

30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-132015-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

314 PM EDT SAT APR 12 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+3)   77-82 (+2)   58-63        69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+3)   33-38 (-1)   77-82        54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 10 G20                  S 10 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G16     S 12 G22     S 10 G19     S 10 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           80           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.34         

LAL                   1            1            3            5            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 29                      S 35         

DISPERSION                         112 VERY GOOD             79 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FROST. COLDER. LOWS IN THE

30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS NEAR 70. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



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