

103 

FNUS54 KMRX 111926

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

326 PM EDT FRI APR 11 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY 

TOWARD THE AREA THIS EVENING. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND PERHAPS A FEW 

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND EXTREME 

NORTHERN SECTIONS OF TENNESSEE THIS EVENING. AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES 

OFF TO THE EAST DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS A RIDGE OF HIGH 

PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION...PRODUCING WARM AND DRY 

CONDITIONS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND. SHOWERS AND STORMS 

ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK.



BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST OVER THE WEEKEND...BUT HUMIDITY 

VALUES WILL BE A LITTLE HIGHER AS GULF MOISTURE CONTINUES TO

FLOW INTO THE AREA.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-122030-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

326 PM EDT FRI APR 11 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+3)   73-78 (+4)   51-56        77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+15)  31-36 (+2)   88-93        29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  9 G21    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  8 G16     S  7         S 11 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                                          

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7500                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  9                     SW 24        

DISPERSION                         46 GEN GOOD               91 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-122030-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

326 PM EDT FRI APR 11 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+4)   72-77 (+5)   49-54        73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (+9)   31-36 (+2)   87-92        33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  9 G20     S  8 G17     S 11 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 9000                      7400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  8                     SW 16        

DISPERSION                         44 GEN GOOD               63 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO

UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-122030-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

326 PM EDT FRI APR 11 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+4)   71-76 (+4)   48-53        73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+15)  28-33 (-2)   87-92        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 10 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6 G15    S  8 G18     S 10 G23     S 13 G23     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7900                      6900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 10                      S 23         

DISPERSION                         41 GEN GOOD               76 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

COLDER. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S

TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-122030-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

326 PM EDT FRI APR 11 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+3)   76-81 (+6)   49-54        76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+15) 31-36 (0)    95-100       35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 10 G20     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  9 G18     S  8 G18     S 13 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6900                      6800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 12                      S 24         

DISPERSION                         49 GEN GOOD               99 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

COLDER. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-122030-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

326 PM EDT FRI APR 11 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+4)   74-79 (+4)   48-53        75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+13) 31-36 (-1)   95-100       35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  9 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 10 G17     S  7         S 13 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7400                      7200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 10                      S 22         

DISPERSION                         48 GEN GOOD               92 GOOD      

MAX LVORI                          4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS NEAR

70. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-122030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

326 PM EDT FRI APR 11 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+5)   76-81 (+5)   51-56        77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (+7)   31-36 (0)    87-92        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  6 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6 G15     S  5         S 10 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6700                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  8                      SW 20        

DISPERSION                         35 FAIR                   73 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS NEAR

70. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

COLDER. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-122030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

326 PM EDT FRI APR 11 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+4)   76-81 (+5)   51-56        77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+12)  32-37 (+1)   92-97        33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  9 G22     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  9 G18     S  6         S 13 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 12                      SW 26        

DISPERSION                         49 GEN GOOD               100 GOOD     



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS NEAR

70. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MUCH

COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-122030-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

326 PM EDT FRI APR 11 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+3)   75-80 (+3)   52-57        78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+17) 32-37 (-1)   94-99        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  9 G20     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  9 G17     S  7         S 13 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 13                      S 28         

DISPERSION                         49 GEN GOOD               111 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

COLDER. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S

TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



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