

420 

FNUS54 KMRX 111451

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1051 AM EDT FRI APR 11 2014



.DISCUSSION...

LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS AND BREEZY SOUTHWEST WINDS CAN

BE EXPECTED AREA-WIDE THIS AFTERNOON.  HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL NOT

BE AS LOW AS THURSDAY...BUT WILL STILL DIP BELOW 30 PERCENT IN

A FEW PLACES...ALLOWING MEDIUM TO LARGER FUELS TO CONTINUE 

TO DRY. 



A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE NORTHERN PARTS 

OF THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SCATTERED SHOWERS 

AND POSSIBLY A THUNDERSTORM ARE EXPECTED OVER SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA AND NORTHERN SECTIONS OF TENNESSEE THIS AFTERNOON AND

EVENING. HOWEVER...RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE LIGHT AND AVERAGE

ONE-TENTH INCH OR LESS.  NEXT NEXT CHANCE FOR SIGNIFICANT WETTING 

WILL LIKELY HOLD OFF UNTIL EARLY NEXT WEEK.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-121600-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1051 AM EDT FRI APR 11 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (0)    47-52 (+2)   71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      26-31 (+7)   84-89 (+19)  32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 10 G20                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G20    SW  5        S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   2            2            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 24                     SW  8        

DISPERSION            58 GEN GOOD               27 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS

IN THE 40S TO 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-121600-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1051 AM EDT FRI APR 11 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (+1)   45-50 (+3)   69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (+7)   80-85 (+11)  31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9 G18                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G16     LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      S  5         

DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER

50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS

IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-121600-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1051 AM EDT FRI APR 11 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (+1)   43-48 (+4)   69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      20-25 (+1)   83-88 (+12)  26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 10 G18                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G17    SW  6        S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 21                     S  5         

DISPERSION            41 GEN GOOD               12 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID

50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-121600-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1051 AM EDT FRI APR 11 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (0)    43-48 (+4)   74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (+3)   89-94 (+9)   29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  9 G17                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10        SW  5        S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     S  7         

DISPERSION            43 GEN GOOD               21 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S

TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-121600-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1051 AM EDT FRI APR 11 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (0)    42-47 (+5)   71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      21-26 (0)    92-97 (+10)  29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G16                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G16    LGT/VAR      S  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     SE  7        

DISPERSION            38 FAIR                   21 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID

50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S

TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-121600-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1051 AM EDT FRI APR 11 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (+1)   47-52 (+3)   73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (+7)   86-91 (+13)  31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  9 G19                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G19    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 21                     S  6         

DISPERSION            50 GEN GOOD               19 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID

50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS

IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-121600-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1051 AM EDT FRI APR 11 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (0)    48-53 (+4)   74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (+6)   83-88 (+8)   31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  9 G18                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G18    SW  5        S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         11 PM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   2            2            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 22                     S  7         

DISPERSION            66 GOOD                   25 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS NEAR 70. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-121600-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1051 AM EDT FRI APR 11 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (0)    48-53 (+3)   75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (+6)   88-93 (+12)  32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G16                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G16    SW  5        S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     S  9         

DISPERSION            52 GEN GOOD               31 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS NEAR 80. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. NOT AS WARM. HIGHS

AROUND 70. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



