

376 

FNUS54 KMRX 082300

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

700 PM EDT TUE APR 8 2014



.DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE OVER THE TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY WILL 

PRODUCE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A THUNDERSTORM TONIGHT AND 

WEDNESDAY MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD INTO THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN REGION BY THURSDAY...WITH INCREASING SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 

BRINGING A WARMING TREND.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-100000-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

700 PM EDT TUE APR 8 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43        54-59 (0)    36-41        67-72        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+2)   39-44 (-9)   84-89        24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  7        LGT/VAR      SW  9        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7500                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 15                     SW 20        

DISPERSION                         69 GOOD                   49 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-100000-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

700 PM EDT TUE APR 8 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41        51-56 (0)    34-39        63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-2)   42-47 (-9)   80-85        26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7 G15                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  8 G16    LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.03         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7500                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 17                     SW 15        

DISPERSION                         68 GOOD                   27 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 

50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-100000-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

700 PM EDT TUE APR 8 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42        52-57 (+1)   34-39        63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (0)    36-41 (-15)  78-83        23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        NW  7        LGT/VAR      SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7900                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 17                     SW 16        

DISPERSION                         72 GOOD                   27 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST 

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S. 

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-100000-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

700 PM EDT TUE APR 8 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45        58-63 (+2)   36-41        67-72        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+2)   34-39 (-13)  83-88        26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  8        LGT/VAR      SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            8 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 8400                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 20                      SW 16        

DISPERSION                         108 VERY GOOD             40 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 

50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-100000-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

700 PM EDT TUE APR 8 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44        57-62 (+1)   35-40        67-72        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (0)    33-38 (-13)  80-85        23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G17                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        NW  9 G17    LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            8 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 9300                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 21                      SW 14        

DISPERSION                         127 VERY GOOD             33 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 

50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-100000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

700 PM EDT TUE APR 8 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44        56-61 (0)    35-40        67-72        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (0)    37-42 (-10)  85-90        26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6800                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 14                     SW 17        

DISPERSION                         64 GOOD                   51 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 

50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-100000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

700 PM EDT TUE APR 8 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45        59-64 (+2)   37-42        68-73        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+1)   34-39 (-13)  83-88        26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        LGT/VAR      SW  8        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            8 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7400                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     SW 18        

DISPERSION                         85 GOOD                   61 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. 

HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-100000-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

700 PM EDT TUE APR 8 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46        60-65 (+1)   37-42        69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-1)   33-38 (-14)  87-92        25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7 G15                 SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  7 G15    LGT/VAR      S  8         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            8 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7700                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 20                      SW 18        

DISPERSION                         108 VERY GOOD             60 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



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