

568 

FNUS54 KMRX 081842

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

242 PM EDT TUE APR 8 2014



.DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE TENNESSEE VALLEY WILL 

PRODUCE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A THUNDERSTORM THIS 

AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE 

WILL BUILD INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS THURSDAY WITH INCREASING 

SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS PULLING WARMER AIR BACK INTO THE REGION.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-091945-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

242 PM EDT TUE APR 8 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (0)    54-59 (0)    36-41        67-72        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+2)   39-44 (-9)   84-89        24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  7        LGT/VAR      SW  9        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            N/A          

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7500                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 15                     SW 20        

DISPERSION                         69 GOOD                                



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN

THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-091945-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

242 PM EDT TUE APR 8 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-1)   51-56 (0)    34-39        63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-2)   42-47 (-9)   80-85        26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7 G15                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  8 G16    LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.03         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            N/A          

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7500                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 17                     SW 15        

DISPERSION                         68 GOOD                                



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN

THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-091945-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

242 PM EDT TUE APR 8 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (0)    52-57 (+1)   34-39        63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (0)    36-41 (-15)  78-83        23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        NW  7        LGT/VAR      SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            N/A          

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7900                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 17                     SW 16        

DISPERSION                         72 GOOD                                



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN

THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-091945-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

242 PM EDT TUE APR 8 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+1)   58-63 (+2)   36-41        67-72        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+2)   34-39 (-13)  83-88        26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  8        LGT/VAR      SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            8 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            N/A          

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 8400                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 20                      SW 16        

DISPERSION                         108 VERY GOOD                          



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-091945-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

242 PM EDT TUE APR 8 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (0)    57-62 (+1)   35-40        67-72        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (0)    33-38 (-13)  80-85        23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G17                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        NW  9 G17    LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            8 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            N/A          

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 9300                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 21                      SW 14        

DISPERSION                         127 VERY GOOD                          

MAX LVORI                          4                                      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-091945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

242 PM EDT TUE APR 8 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (0)    56-61 (0)    35-40        67-72        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (0)    37-42 (-10)  85-90        26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            N/A          

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6800                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 14                     SW 17        

DISPERSION                         64 GOOD                                



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN

THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-091945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

242 PM EDT TUE APR 8 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (0)    59-64 (+2)   37-42        68-73        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+1)   34-39 (-13)  83-88        26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        LGT/VAR      SW  8        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            8 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            N/A          

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7400                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     SW 18        

DISPERSION                         85 GOOD                                



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER

50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-091945-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

242 PM EDT TUE APR 8 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+1)   60-65 (+1)   37-42        69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-1)   33-38 (-14)  87-92        25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7 G15                 SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  7 G15    LGT/VAR      S  8         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            8 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            N/A          

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7700                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 20                      SW 18        

DISPERSION                         108 VERY GOOD                          



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER

50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN

THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 



$$



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