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365 

FNUS54 KMRX 081346 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

946 AM EDT TUE APR 8 2014



.DISCUSSION...

 

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 

TONIGHT...WITH AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE BEHIND IT CREATING 

ADDITIONAL SCATTERED SHOWERS THROUGH WEDNESDAY. DRY CONDITIONS WILL 

RETURN BY THURSDAY...AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN ACROSS THE REGION.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-091500-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

946 AM EDT TUE APR 8 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-7)   38-43 (0)    56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-20)  86-91 (-1)   32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  9 G16                 NW  8 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8        LGT/VAR      NW 10 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           50           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          5 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.05         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 18                     NW 16        

DISPERSION            65 GOOD                   48 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-091500-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

946 AM EDT TUE APR 8 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-5)   35-40 (-2)   55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-25)  93-98 (+3)   34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 11 G22                 NW  9 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G19    NW  5        NW 11 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6300                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 23                     NW 18        

DISPERSION            68 GOOD                   50 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-091500-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

946 AM EDT TUE APR 8 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-5)   36-41 (-1)   56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-24)  86-91 (-3)   28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  9 G16                 NW  7 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G15    NW  5        NW  9        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 18                     NW 14        

DISPERSION            51 GEN GOOD               36 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-091500-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

946 AM EDT TUE APR 8 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-5)   39-44 (0)    61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-21)  87-92 (+2)   28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  9 G16                  NW  8 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G16    NW  5        NW  9        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM                      

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 18                      N 16         

DISPERSION            66 GOOD                   48 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-091500-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

946 AM EDT TUE APR 8 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+1)   39-44 (0)    61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-29)  86-91 (-2)   25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N 10 G18                  NW  9 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G17    NW  6        NW 10 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM                      

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 21                      N 16         

DISPERSION            78 GOOD                   46 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI             3                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-091500-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

946 AM EDT TUE APR 8 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-7)   38-43 (-1)   59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-18)  91-96 (+2)   31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  8                     NW  7 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        LGT/VAR      NW  9 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   11 AM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 15                     NW 14        

DISPERSION            55 GEN GOOD               48 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-091500-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

946 AM EDT TUE APR 8 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (-4)   39-44 (-1)   60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-18)  85-90 (+1)   29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  6                     NW  7 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      NW  8 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           50           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.04         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 14                     NW 14        

DISPERSION            48 GEN GOOD               53 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.

HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-091500-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

946 AM EDT TUE APR 8 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+1)   40-45 (0)    61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-24)  85-90 (-1)   29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     NW  8 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        NW  5        NW  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 15                     N 16         

DISPERSION            52 GEN GOOD               60 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.

HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 



$$



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