

343 

FNUS54 KMRX 071851

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

251 PM EDT MON APR 7 2014



.DISCUSSION...

AS A COLD FRONT MOVES OFF TO OUR EAST THIS EVENING WE 

WILL EXPERIENCE A BRIEF PERIOD OF DRYING BEFORE THE NEXT SYSTEM 

AFFECTS THE REGION TUESDAY EVENING. THIS SYSTEM IS FAIRLY WEAK...AND 

IS EXPECTED TO HAVE MINIMAL IMPACTS ACROSS THE AREA. DRY CONDITIONS 

RETURN AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 

REGION ON WEDNESDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-082000-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

251 PM EDT MON APR 7 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-7)   52-57 (-6)   38-43        56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+6)   45-50 (-13)  82-87        30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7                     NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 12 G24    NW  7        LGT/VAR      NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           30           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.01         0.15         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 17                     NW 13        

DISPERSION                         57 GEN GOOD               40 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-082000-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

251 PM EDT MON APR 7 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-7)   49-54 (-8)   34-39        55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+6)   46-51 (-14)  90-95        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G16                 NW  6 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G21    NW  8 G15    LGT/VAR      NW  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           40           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.01         0.12         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 21                     NW 16        

DISPERSION                         57 GEN GOOD               44 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-082000-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

251 PM EDT MON APR 7 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-9)   50-55 (-7)   36-41        56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+7)   40-45 (-25)  83-88        28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G27     NW  7        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           30           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.02         0.15         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6300                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     NW 14        

DISPERSION                         42 GEN GOOD               32 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-082000-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

251 PM EDT MON APR 7 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-8)   54-59 (-6)   39-44        61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+2)   42-47 (-22)  83-88        29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7 G15                 N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G19     NW  7        NW  5        N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         2 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            2 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.03         0.13         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 17                     N 16         

DISPERSION                         59 GEN GOOD               47 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-082000-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

251 PM EDT MON APR 7 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-6)   54-59 (-5)   39-44        61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-2)   40-45 (-26)  83-88        27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  9 G17                  NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G18     NW  8 G15    NW  5        NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         2 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            2 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.03         0.14         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6300                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 20                     N 15         

DISPERSION                         70 GOOD                   41 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI                          3                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-082000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

251 PM EDT MON APR 7 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-7)   54-59 (-7)   38-43        59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+5)   41-46 (-17)  88-93        29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 12 G24    W  6         LGT/VAR      W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           30           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   11 AM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.14         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 14                     NW 12        

DISPERSION                         45 GEN GOOD               41 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-082000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

251 PM EDT MON APR 7 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-7)   55-60 (-6)   39-44        60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+7)   38-43 (-21)  81-86        27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G22     W  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            2 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.04         0.14         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 12                     NW 14        

DISPERSION                         38 FAIR                   53 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.

HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-082000-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

251 PM EDT MON APR 7 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-10)  57-62 (-5)   40-45        61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+4)   36-41 (-23)  79-84        27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G18     NW  7        NW  6        NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         2 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            2 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.04         0.12         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 14                     N 17         

DISPERSION                         48 GEN GOOD               64 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST

AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.

HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO

UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



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