

185 

FNUS54 KMRX 070704

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

304 AM EDT MON APR 7 2014



.DISCUSSION...

 

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE TENNESSEE 

RIVER VALLEY TODAY...BRINGING WIDESPREAD RAINFALL. MOST OF THE 

SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION WILL RECEIVE UP TO INCH OF RAIN...WHILE 

PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN GREAT TENNESSEE VALLEY COULD RECEIVE UP TO 

2 INCHES.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-080815-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

304 AM EDT MON APR 7 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (-1)   42-47 (-3)   53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (+25)  81-86 (0)    43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 14 G27                  NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 15 G28     SW 15 G29    NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          30           20           

PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.38         0.06         0.03         

LAL                   3            1            1            

LASI                  2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 30                      NW 15        

DISPERSION            44 GEN GOOD               54 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S

TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER

70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS NEAR 70. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-080815-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

304 AM EDT MON APR 7 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (-1)   40-45 (-4)   51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (+26)  86-91 (+1)   42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 24 G44                  NW  8 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 17 G36     W 13 G25     NW  7 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          30           20           

PRECIP DURATION       8            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.75         0.08         0.03         

LAL                   3            1            1            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 38                      NW 17        

DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               55 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S

TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER

70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-080815-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

304 AM EDT MON APR 7 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (0)    38-43 (-8)   53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (+20)  95-100 (+9)  40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 27 G51                  N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 20 G43    W 14 G27     N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          30           30           

PRECIP DURATION       7            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         1.03         0.03         0.03         

LAL                   3            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 48                      N 15         

DISPERSION            60 GEN GOOD               40 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-080815-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

304 AM EDT MON APR 7 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+1)   41-46 (-6)   56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (+21)  91-96 (0)    38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 17 G35                  N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 13 G26    W 10 G21     N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           30           

PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.90         0.02         0.03         

LAL                   3            1            1            

LASI                  2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 37                      N 16         

DISPERSION            62 GOOD                   57 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 40.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO

MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-080815-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

304 AM EDT MON APR 7 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+1)   41-46 (-4)   56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (+24)  90-95 (-2)   39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 12 G24                  N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G20    W 11 G19     N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          30           20           

PRECIP DURATION       8            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         1.30         0.02         0.03         

LAL                   3            1            1            

LASI                  2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 26                      N 17         

DISPERSION            44 GEN GOOD               60 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI             4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID

70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-080815-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

304 AM EDT MON APR 7 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (-1)   42-47 (-4)   54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (+24)  84-89 (-1)   42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 14 G30                  NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 14 G27    W 14 G29     NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          30           20           

PRECIP DURATION       7            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.61         0.05         0.03         

LAL                   3            1            1            

LASI                  2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 29                      NW 14        

DISPERSION            39 FAIR                   53 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S

TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER

70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO

MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S

TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO

MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-080815-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

304 AM EDT MON APR 7 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (0)    41-46 (-6)   56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+22)  87-92 (+2)   42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 14 G28                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 15 G27    W 11 G24     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           30           

PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.55         0.02         0.03         

LAL                   3            1            1            

LASI                  2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 33                      NW 12        

DISPERSION            54 GEN GOOD               46 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. HIGHS AROUND 70. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID

70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID

70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-080815-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

304 AM EDT MON APR 7 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (+1)   41-46 (-9)   59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+21)  88-93 (+3)   38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 15 G26                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 13 G24    W  9 G17     NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           30           

PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.57         0.01         0.04         

LAL                   3            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 37                      NW 13        

DISPERSION            81 GOOD                   53 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS NEAR 60. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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