

969 

FNUS54 KMRX 051920

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

320 PM EDT SAT APR 5 2014



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN MOVING OFF TO OUR NORTHEAST 

OVERNIGHT AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTHWEST 

LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY WHILE BRINGING THE NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN TO 

THE REGION.

 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-062030-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

320 PM EDT SAT APR 5 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-6)   62-67 (+12)  45-50        60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+4)   31-36 (-7)   85-90        59-64        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE 13 G24    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        SE  8 G18    S 11 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            100          80           

PRECIP DURATION                                 5            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.43         0.38         

LAL                   1            1            2            5            

LASI                               4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6900                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 12                      S 35         

DISPERSION                         49 GEN GOOD               78 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS

IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN

THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO

LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-062030-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

320 PM EDT SAT APR 5 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-5)   60-65 (+10)  43-48        60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (-3)   32-37 (-3)   86-91        56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  6                     SE 24 G46    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  6        SE 15 G39    S 15 G39     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            100          90           

PRECIP DURATION                                 8            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.49         0.50         

LAL                   1            1            3            5            

LASI                               4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6700                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 15                      S 36         

DISPERSION                         50 GEN GOOD               66 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS

IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO LESS THAN 10 MPH

AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 70S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-062030-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

320 PM EDT SAT APR 5 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-3)   59-64 (+8)   45-50        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-1)   37-42 (+1)   83-88        58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 27 G53     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         SE 13 G38    SW 17 G44    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           100          70           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            3            

PRECIP BEGIN                       5 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.88         0.36         

LAL                   1            1            3            5            

LASI                               4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7100                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  9                      SW 43        

DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   82 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER

70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-062030-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

320 PM EDT SAT APR 5 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-4)   63-68 (+7)   47-52        66-71        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+7)   38-43 (+3)   90-95        58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE 14 G25    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         SE  8 G18    SW 12 G22    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           100          70           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            3            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         1.14         0.33         

LAL                   1            1            3            4            

LASI                               4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 15                     S 35         

DISPERSION                         45 GEN GOOD               80 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 70S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-062030-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

320 PM EDT SAT APR 5 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-5)   63-68 (+6)   47-52        66-71        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+7)  39-44 (+5)   88-93        60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE 11 G21    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         SE  8 G17    S 11 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           100          70           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            3            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         1.14         0.44         

LAL                   1            1            3            5            

LASI                               4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 15                     S 29         

DISPERSION                         44 GEN GOOD               60 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI                          4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID

70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-062030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

320 PM EDT SAT APR 5 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-7)   65-70 (+11)  45-50        63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+6)   32-37 (-3)   89-94        58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE 12 G23    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  8 G18    SW 11 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            100          80           

PRECIP DURATION                                 8            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.54         0.37         

LAL                   1            1            3            5            

LASI                               4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 12                     S 31         

DISPERSION                         48 GEN GOOD               64 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER

70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-062030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

320 PM EDT SAT APR 5 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-4)   65-70 (+10)  47-52        63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+12)  33-38 (-4)   85-90        58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 12 G22     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         SE  6        SW 12 G21    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           100          70           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            3            

PRECIP BEGIN                       5 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.84         0.22         

LAL                   1            1            3            5            

LASI                               4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 10                      SW 39        

DISPERSION                         41 GEN GOOD               115 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS NEAR 70.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-062030-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

320 PM EDT SAT APR 5 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+1)   64-69 (+7)   48-53        65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+13)  38-43 (+4)   90-95        57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 12 G22     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  7         SE  8 G17    SW 12 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           100          60           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         1.35         0.21         

LAL                   1            1            3            4            

LASI                               4                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 16                      SW 39        

DISPERSION                         58 GEN GOOD               127 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS NEAR 70.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID

70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



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