

147 

FNUS54 KMRX 041919

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

319 PM EDT FRI APR 4 2014



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN BUILDING INTO THE REGION 

TONIGHT AND WILL CONTROL OUR WEATHER SATURDAY. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM 

WILL APPROACH FROM THE SOUTHWEST SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT AND WILL 

DRAG A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE AREA ON MONDAY.

 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-052030-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

319 PM EDT FRI APR 4 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-15)  55-60 (-11)  32-37        59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (+1)   25-30 (-30)  83-88        38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G17                 SE  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G19     NW  9 G17    LGT/VAR      SE  9        

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            11 PM                                               

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     SE 14        

DISPERSION                         44 GEN GOOD               43 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-052030-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

319 PM EDT FRI APR 4 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-11)  56-61 (-9)   32-37        58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+9)   23-28 (-33)  83-88        37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 12 G23                 SE  8 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G24     NW 10 G21    LGT/VAR      SE 12 G21    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                   2 PM         

PRECIP END            2 AM                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 21                     SE 20        

DISPERSION                         41 GEN GOOD               47 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS

10 TO 20 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-052030-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

319 PM EDT FRI APR 4 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-11)  57-62 (-5)   34-39        58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+14)  23-28 (-35)  78-83        38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7                     SE  7 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G21     N  8         LGT/VAR      SE  8 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            40           

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                   2 PM         

PRECIP END            2 AM                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 13                      SE 16        

DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   32 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...BREEZY. SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 25 MPH. 

.MONDAY...BREEZY. SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH

EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-052030-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

319 PM EDT FRI APR 4 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-11)  60-65 (-5)   37-42        61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+4)   23-28 (-39)  79-84        40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  9 G16                  SE  8 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G16    N  9         LGT/VAR      SE  9 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            50           

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                   8 AM         

PRECIP END            11 PM                                  CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 16                      SE 21        

DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   51 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN

THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-052030-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

319 PM EDT FRI APR 4 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-9)   60-65 (-5)   37-42        61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+7)  24-29 (-38)  80-85        40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  9                      SE  9 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G16     N  8 G15     LGT/VAR      SE 11 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            50           

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                   8 AM         

PRECIP END            2 AM                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 15                      SE 22        

DISPERSION                         35 FAIR                   52 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI                          3                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH EARLY IN

THE AFTERNOON. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE

MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-052030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

319 PM EDT FRI APR 4 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-11)  58-63 (-9)   35-40        60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-1)   25-30 (-31)  82-87        39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7 G15                 SE  6 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G19     NW  7        LGT/VAR      SE  9 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                   2 PM         

PRECIP END            11 PM                                  CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 14                     SE 16        

DISPERSION                         41 GEN GOOD               51 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-052030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

319 PM EDT FRI APR 4 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-16)  58-63 (-6)   37-42        61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (-3)   26-31 (-34)  78-83        40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      E  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G17    N  7         LGT/VAR      SE  7        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 2 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 12                      SE 13        

DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   40 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR

50. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 60. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-052030-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

319 PM EDT FRI APR 4 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-19)  60-65 (-6)   38-43        63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-4)   25-30 (-31)  78-83        41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  7                      SE  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G16    N  7         LGT/VAR      SE  8        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            50           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 13                      SE 17        

DISPERSION                         44 GEN GOOD               51 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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