

483 

FNUS54 KMRX 031939

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

339 PM EDT THU APR 3 2014



.DISCUSSION...

 A COLD FRONT WILL SWING ACROSS THE REGION ON 

FRIDAY...BRINGING SHOWERS AND STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TO THE 

REGION. THEN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FOR SATURDAY...BRINGING 

MOSTLY COOLER...BUT COOLER CONDITIONS. ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM 

WILL APPROACH SUNDAY AND WILL AFFECT THE REGION THROUGH MONDAY. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-042045-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

339 PM EDT THU APR 3 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+2)   68-73 (-5)   41-46        57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-5)   45-50 (+4)   80-85        27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  9 G19                 NW  9 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        SW 13 G23    W 11 G20     NW  6 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           80           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            6            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.34         0.07         0.00         

LAL                   3            5            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 29                     NW 15        

DISPERSION                         59 GEN GOOD               36 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-042045-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

339 PM EDT THU APR 3 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+1)   67-72 (-4)   42-47        57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (-5)   41-46 (-1)   78-83        26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G19                 NW 11 G22    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        SW 13 G22    W 12 G23     NW  8 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           80           50           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            6            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            12 AM        CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.39         0.12         0.00         

LAL                   3            5            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 23                     NW 18        

DISPERSION                         42 GEN GOOD               35 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 5 TO

15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-042045-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

339 PM EDT THU APR 3 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+1)   65-70 (-6)   42-47        56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-6)   42-47 (+4)   73-78        24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  9 G20                 N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        SW 13 G22    W 12 G24     N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           80           50           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            6            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          4 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.45         0.09         0.00         

LAL                   2            5            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 28                     N 12         

DISPERSION                         42 GEN GOOD               16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S

TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-042045-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

339 PM EDT THU APR 3 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+1)   68-73 (-7)   43-48        61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-6)   54-59 (+13)  81-86        28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G17                 N  8         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 11        W  9 G18     N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           80           40           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            6            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          4 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.44         0.04         0.00         

LAL                   2            5            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 26                     N 14         

DISPERSION                         48 GEN GOOD               31 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH

SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-042045-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

339 PM EDT THU APR 3 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+1)   67-72 (-8)   43-48        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-6)   53-58 (+15)  80-85        24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G15                 N  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G16    W  9 G18     NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           80           50           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            6            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          4 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.47         0.06         0.00         

LAL                   2            5            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 22                     N 13         

DISPERSION                         43 GEN GOOD               27 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH

SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

MID 60S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR

50. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-042045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

339 PM EDT THU APR 3 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (0)    71-76 (-5)   42-47        60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-3)   43-48 (+4)   81-86        27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G18                 NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        SW 13 G21    W 11 G20     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           80           40           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            6            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.38         0.09         0.00         

LAL                   3            5            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 29                     NW 12        

DISPERSION                         69 GOOD                   30 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 40. EAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-042045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

339 PM EDT THU APR 3 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+1)   69-74 (-8)   41-46        60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-5)   49-54 (+10)  77-82        28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  9 G18                 N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        SW 12 G20    W  9 G18     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           80           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            6            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.33         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   4            5            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 31                     N 10         

DISPERSION                         72 GOOD                   28 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR

50. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-042045-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

339 PM EDT THU APR 3 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+1)   69-74 (-8)   41-46        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-2)   50-55 (+12)  78-83        27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  9 G20                  N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         SW 10 G20    W  7 G16     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           80           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            6                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          4 AM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.35         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   4            5            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 29                     N 12         

DISPERSION                         67 GOOD                   32 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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