

331 

FNUS54 KMRX 030749

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

349 AM EDT THU APR 3 2014



.DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL SHIFT NORTHEAST ACROSS THE 

SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS THIS MORNING. THIS FEATURE WILL CONTINUE NORTHEAST 

INTO THE UPPER OHIO VALLEY LEAVING DRIER AIR IN ITS WAKE. THIS 

SHOULD ALLOW FOR SOME SUNSHINE LATER IN THE MORNING THROUGH THE 

AFTERNOON ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION. DRY CONDITIONS SHOULD LAST 

THROUGH MUCH OF THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD. HOWEVER...A STRONG STORM 

SYSTEM WILL BE MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS LATER IN THE 

NIGHT AND SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY BUILD ONTO THE CUMBERLAND 

PLATEAU AROUND DAYBREAK FRIDAY. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-040900-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

349 AM EDT THU APR 3 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (-1)   53-58 (+2)   68-73        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (+7)   85-90 (+5)   49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      SW 11 G21    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G17     SW  7 G15    SW 13 G23    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           10           80           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            6            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         4 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            5 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.01         0.25         

LAL                   4            1            5            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     SW 31        

DISPERSION            50 GEN GOOD               67 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-040900-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

349 AM EDT THU APR 3 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (-2)   50-55 (+1)   67-72        

RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (+7)   85-90 (+3)   47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W 10 G22     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G16     SW  6        SW 12 G21    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            80           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         6            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      8 AM         

PRECIP END            5 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.00         0.24         

LAL                   3            1            5            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     SW 35        

DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   57 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

20 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-040900-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

349 AM EDT THU APR 3 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (-3)   51-56 (+1)   65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (+7)   79-84 (-4)   47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G17                  SW 12 G24    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G21    S  9 G20     SW 13 G24    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           80           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            4            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         4 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.01         0.43         

LAL                   3            2            5            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 20                     SW 37        

DISPERSION            40 FAIR                   49 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 10 TO

20 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-040900-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

349 AM EDT THU APR 3 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (-3)   52-57 (+1)   68-73        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (+12)  88-93 (0)    57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G16                  SW 11 G21    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G19     S  7 G15     SW 12 G21    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           80           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            4            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         4 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.58         

LAL                   3            2            5            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 18                      SW 36        

DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               71 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-040900-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

349 AM EDT THU APR 3 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (-3)   50-55 (+1)   67-72        

RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (+10)  91-96 (-1)   55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G16                  SW 10 G20    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G18    S  6 G15     SW 11 G21    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           80           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            4            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         4 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.48         

LAL                   2            2            5            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     SW 33        

DISPERSION            43 GEN GOOD               63 GOOD      

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-040900-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

349 AM EDT THU APR 3 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (0)    51-56 (0)    71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (+5)   92-97 (+10)  47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW 10 G21    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8        SW  5        SW 13 G21    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           20           80           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            4            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         4 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            5 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.01         0.34         

LAL                   4            2            5            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     SW 31        

DISPERSION            39 FAIR                   82 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-040900-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

349 AM EDT THU APR 3 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (+1)   55-60 (+1)   69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (+8)   86-91 (+6)   53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G18                  SW 11 G21    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G20    SW  7 G15    SW 12 G21    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           40           80           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            4            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.05         0.50         

LAL                   3            4            5            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 22                     SW 36        

DISPERSION            62 GOOD                   93 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO LESS

THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-040900-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

349 AM EDT THU APR 3 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (-2)   56-61 (+1)   69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (+10)  89-94 (+5)   54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G18                  SW 11 G20    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G19     S  7         SW 11 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           70           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.08         0.74         

LAL                   3            4            5            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 23                     SW 32        

DISPERSION            61 GOOD                   82 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



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