

588 

FNUS54 KMRX 021542 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1142 AM EDT WED APR 2 2014



.DISCUSSION...

DRY CONDITIONS AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL 

CONTINUE TODAY. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL BUILD NORTHEAST OUT OF 

THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TODAY AND WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN REGION TONIGHT. THIS RATHER WEAK FEATURE MAY PRODUCE A 

FEW SHOWERS MAINLY NORTH OF THE I-40 CORRIDOR. THERE IS A SMALL 

POSSIBILITY OF A BRIEF PERIOD OF THUNDER ON THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU 

AS WELL. A STRONGER STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION ON 

FRIDAY WITH A HIGH PROBABILITY OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-031645-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1142 AM EDT WED APR 2 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (+4)   49-54 (+4)   73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (0)    89-94 (+25)  37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           40           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.08         

LAL                   1            3            3            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6600                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      SW 18        

DISPERSION            65 GOOD                   55 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-031645-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1142 AM EDT WED APR 2 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (+5)   48-53 (+5)   71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (+1)   81-86 (+15)  34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      SW 15        

DISPERSION            58 GEN GOOD               42 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-031645-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1142 AM EDT WED APR 2 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (+6)   48-53 (+5)   69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      21-26 (-4)   83-88 (+13)  31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      S  7 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      S  8 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            2            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 14                      SW 21        

DISPERSION            39 FAIR                   42 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID

60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO

20 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-031645-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1142 AM EDT WED APR 2 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (+5)   49-54 (+4)   74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      22-27 (-2)   83-88 (+19)  37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  7 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      S  8 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 AM                      

PRECIP END                         8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     SW 21        

DISPERSION            38 FAIR                   49 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-031645-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1142 AM EDT WED APR 2 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (+4)   45-50 (+2)   74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      20-25 (-2)   93-98 (+30)  34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      S  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       5 AM                      

PRECIP END                         8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 10                      SW 20        

DISPERSION            39 FAIR                   45 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI             2                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-031645-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1142 AM EDT WED APR 2 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (+4)   50-55 (+4)   75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (+2)   83-88 (+18)  34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      SW 17        

DISPERSION            68 GOOD                   59 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID

60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-031645-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1142 AM EDT WED APR 2 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (+4)   54-59 (+6)   73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (-1)   79-84 (+15)  41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      S  7 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         0.02         

LAL                   1            3            3            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     SW 22        

DISPERSION            53 GEN GOOD               69 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER

50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-031645-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1142 AM EDT WED APR 2 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (+5)   55-60 (+7)   74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      26-31 (0)    81-86 (+16)  41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  8 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         LGT/VAR      S  9 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM                      

PRECIP END                         8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   1            3            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     SW 21        

DISPERSION            43 GEN GOOD               61 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



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