

843 

FNUS54 KMRX 011901

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

301 PM EDT TUE APR 1 2014



.DISCUSSION...

DRY CONDITIONS AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL 

CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL SPREAD SHOWERS 

AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION ON FRIDAY.  





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-022015-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

301 PM EDT TUE APR 1 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+6)   71-76 (+2)   50-55        73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (+14)  30-35 (+6)   84-89        33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  8 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        S  5         SW 10 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           40           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            3            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6800                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 13                     S 16         

DISPERSION                         54 GEN GOOD               49 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH

EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN

THE 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-022015-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

301 PM EDT TUE APR 1 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+6)   70-75 (+3)   48-53        71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (+8)   28-33 (+4)   79-84        30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6         S  5 G15     W  8         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            3            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6700                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 15                     SW 13        

DISPERSION                         50 GEN GOOD               37 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN

THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-022015-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

301 PM EDT TUE APR 1 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+6)   71-76 (+4)   49-54        69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (+11)  30-35 (+5)   75-80        24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      SW  8 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  7         S 10 G23     SW 11 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            2            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6600                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 14                     SW 20        

DISPERSION                         43 GEN GOOD               55 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

20 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN

THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID

60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO

20 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-022015-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

301 PM EDT TUE APR 1 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+8)   74-79 (+2)   50-55        74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (+2)   29-34 (+6)   79-84        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  9 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        S  9 G19     SW 10 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            2            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 13                      SW 21        

DISPERSION                         48 GEN GOOD               77 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN

THE 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO LESS THAN 10 MPH

AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-022015-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

301 PM EDT TUE APR 1 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+10)  73-78 (+1)   46-51        74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (-9)   27-32 (+5)   83-88        28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  7 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        S  7 G16     SW 10 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            2            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6700                      6900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 13                     SW 18        

DISPERSION                         49 GEN GOOD               72 GOOD      

MAX LVORI                          3                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN

THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-022015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

301 PM EDT TUE APR 1 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+9)   73-78 (+2)   51-56        75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (+5)   29-34 (+5)   78-83        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     SW  7 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        LGT/VAR      SW 10 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            3            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6600                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 14                     SW 15        

DISPERSION                         61 GOOD                   44 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN

THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID

60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-022015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

301 PM EDT TUE APR 1 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+8)   74-79 (+2)   54-59        73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (+8)   32-37 (+7)   75-80        35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW 10 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        S  7 G16     SW 11 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           40           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            3            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 13                     SW 23        

DISPERSION                         56 GEN GOOD               66 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN

THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-022015-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

301 PM EDT TUE APR 1 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+7)   76-81 (+3)   55-60        74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      73-78 (+3)   31-36 (+6)   80-85        38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  9 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         S  8 G17     S 10 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            3            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6300                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 13                      SW 24        

DISPERSION                         56 GEN GOOD               72 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO LESS THAN

10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



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