

002 

FNUS54 KMRX 311919

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

319 PM EDT MON MAR 31 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF THE 

WORKWEEK...WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS CLIMBING ABOVE THE SEASONAL NORMALS 

EACH DAY. A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL SPREAD CLOUD COVER 

ACROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT...BUT LITTLE NO PRECIPITATION IS 

ANTICIPATED. A STRONGER LOW PRESSURE...DELIVERING THE POSSIBILITY OF 

SHOWERS...AND THUNDERSTORMS...WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE AREA FRIDAY 

AFTERNOON...AND EVENING. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-012030-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

319 PM EDT MON MAR 31 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+13)  70-75 (+7)   44-49        74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (-8)   30-35 (+6)   79-84        24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  8 G15    LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      6900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 20                     SW 14        

DISPERSION                         73 GOOD                   58 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S

TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S

TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-012030-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

319 PM EDT MON MAR 31 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+12)  68-73 (+7)   41-46        72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (-4)   27-32 (+3)   76-81        23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  8 G16     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6700                      7200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 18                      SW  9        

DISPERSION                         63 GOOD                   34 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S

TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-012030-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

319 PM EDT MON MAR 31 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+13)  69-74 (+7)   40-45        71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (+3)   24-29 (+1)   74-79        18-23        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7                     SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  8         LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6600                      7100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 20                     SW 10        

DISPERSION                         58 GEN GOOD               35 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS

IN THE 50S TO 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.



$$



TNZ087-102-012030-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

319 PM EDT MON MAR 31 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+15)  72-77 (+6)   43-48        75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (+5)   27-32 (+5)   77-82        24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  7        LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      6600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 17                     S 13         

DISPERSION                         62 GOOD                   50 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S

TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-012030-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

319 PM EDT MON MAR 31 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+16)  71-76 (+5)   41-46        76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (+4)   26-31 (+6)   78-83        20-25        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  7        LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      6900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 17                     SW 10        

DISPERSION                         61 GOOD                   42 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI                          3                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

NEAR 50. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S

TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-012030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

319 PM EDT MON MAR 31 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+16)  71-76 (+7)   41-46        75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (-4)   28-33 (+4)   84-89        23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  8         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      6700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 18                     SW 10        

DISPERSION                         76 GOOD                   46 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY

IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO

UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-012030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

319 PM EDT MON MAR 31 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+15)  72-77 (+7)   45-50        75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (+1)   29-34 (+6)   80-85        24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  7        LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      6600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 17                     SW 14        

DISPERSION                         74 GOOD                   61 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-012030-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

319 PM EDT MON MAR 31 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+13)  74-79 (+7)   46-51        76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (+7)   28-33 (+6)   81-86        26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     S  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        S  5         SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 16                     S 15         

DISPERSION                         68 GOOD                   71 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



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