

153 

FNUS54 KMRX 291845

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

245 PM EDT SAT MAR 29 2014



...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES EXPECTED ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY AFTERNOONS...



.DISCUSSION...

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN REGION TONIGHT...WITH RAIN SHOWERS SLOWLY CHANGING TO 

SNOW SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE 

OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS ABOVE 2500 FEET. DRY AND COOLER WEATHER 

THEN DEVELOPS BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON...WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES 

QUICKLY RETURNING FOR MOST OF NEXT WEEK. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-301945-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

245 PM EDT SAT MAR 29 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-15)  49-54 (-10)  27-32        63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (-12)  34-39 (-19)  77-82        25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 15 G27                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 13 G25    NW 14 G26    NW  8 G19    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           40           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 AM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.40         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 31                     N  9         

DISPERSION                         53 GEN GOOD               14 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-301945-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

245 PM EDT SAT MAR 29 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-16)  48-53 (-10)  26-31        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (-12)  32-37 (-23)  77-82        25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 19 G36                 NW  6 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 16 G32     NW 19 G35    NW 11 G30    NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           40           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 AM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.34         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 33                     NW 12        

DISPERSION                         48 GEN GOOD               10 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-301945-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

245 PM EDT SAT MAR 29 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-17)  51-56 (-5)   27-32        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-11)  30-35 (-27)  75-80        23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 12 G28                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 16 G32    NW 12 G25    N  7 G19     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           40           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 AM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.33         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 26                     N  7         

DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   6 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO UPPER 40S. 

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-301945-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

245 PM EDT SAT MAR 29 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-15)  56-61 (0)    29-34        66-71        

RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (-15)  25-30 (-32)  72-77        22-27        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 12 G22                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 15 G27    NW 12 G23    N  6 G15     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                                          

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 28                      N  9         

DISPERSION                         49 GEN GOOD               12 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS 

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-301945-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

245 PM EDT SAT MAR 29 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-17)  55-60 (-2)   27-32        65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-14)  25-30 (-30)  73-78        22-27        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 15 G29                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 17 G32    NW 15 G29    N  8 G18     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            8 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 31                     N  7         

DISPERSION                         55 GEN GOOD               9 POOR       

MAX LVORI                          3                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-301945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

245 PM EDT SAT MAR 29 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-14)  52-57 (-8)   28-33        65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (-15)  31-36 (-22)  78-83        23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 12 G23                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 14 G24     NW 12 G24    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                                          

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.33         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 26                     N  6         

DISPERSION                         53 GEN GOOD               12 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-301945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

245 PM EDT SAT MAR 29 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-15)  55-60 (-1)   30-35        67-72        

RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (-15)  29-34 (-28)  75-80        23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 10 G19                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 14 G26    NW  9 G18    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                                          

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 24                     NE  6        

DISPERSION                         48 GEN GOOD               12 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-301945-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

245 PM EDT SAT MAR 29 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-14)  60-65 (+4)   32-37        68-73        

RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (-15)  27-32 (-27)  72-77        22-27        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 11 G20                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 14 G27    NW 10 G19    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            8 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 25                      NE  7        

DISPERSION                         53 GEN GOOD               13 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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