

566 

FNUS54 KMRX 290721

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

321 AM EDT SAT MAR 29 2014



.DISCUSSION...

 

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY 

TODAY...BRINGING SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. SOME HIGHER ELEVATIONS 

COULD SEE SOME LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS TONIGHT AS THE LOW MOVES 

AWAY AND COLDER AIR BUILDS INTO THE AREA. SUNDAY WILL BE COOL...BUT 

A WARMING TREND QUICKLY DEVELOPS ON MONDAY. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-300830-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

321 AM EDT SAT MAR 29 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-4)   28-33 (-19)  46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (+14)  89-94 (+3)   33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6 G15                 NW 10 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 12 G23    NW 13 G24    NW  8 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          70           0            

PRECIP DURATION       6            3                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.47         0.18         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2900                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      NW 24        

DISPERSION            12 POOR                   35 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S

TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-300830-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

321 AM EDT SAT MAR 29 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-2)   28-33 (-17)  46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (+13)  84-89 (-5)   30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  7 G16                 NW 13 G27    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 13 G26    NW 15 G28    NW 12 G25    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          70           0            

PRECIP DURATION       6            3                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.52         0.22         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 21                      NW 29        

DISPERSION            11 POOR                   27 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO

UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-300830-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

321 AM EDT SAT MAR 29 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (-3)   29-34 (-16)  50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (-3)   82-87 (-9)   22-27        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G19                  N  8 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G25     NW 13 G26    N  7 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          70           0            

PRECIP DURATION       6            3                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.45         0.19         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 24                     N 21         

DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               22 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO

MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-300830-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

321 AM EDT SAT MAR 29 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (-3)   32-37 (-16)  56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (-5)   80-85 (-10)  21-26        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G20                  N  9 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 14 G25     NW 13 G25    N  9 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       6            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.41         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 22                     N 22         

DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   33 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHEAST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO

UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-300830-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

321 AM EDT SAT MAR 29 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (-1)   30-35 (-17)  56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (-2)   82-87 (-10)  17-22        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G17                  N 11 G21     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G24     NW 13 G25    NW  9 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       6            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.41         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 22                     N 25         

DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   38 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             5                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO

UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-300830-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

321 AM EDT SAT MAR 29 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (-3)   31-36 (-16)  51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+5)   82-87 (-7)   28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6                     NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G22    W 13 G23     NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          50           0            

PRECIP DURATION       6            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.49         0.10         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2900                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 20                      NW 20        

DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   37 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-300830-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

321 AM EDT SAT MAR 29 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (-5)   31-36 (-17)  55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-12)  82-87 (-7)   25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G18                  N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G22     NW 12 G23    NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       6            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.45         0.05         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 22                     N 16         

DISPERSION            38 FAIR                   34 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER

70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-300830-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

321 AM EDT SAT MAR 29 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (-4)   33-38 (-17)  59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-14)  74-79 (-13)  21-26        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 10 G22                 N  8 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 14 G25    NW 13 G23    N  8 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       6                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.46         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 25                     N 18         

DISPERSION            50 GEN GOOD               36 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS

10 TO 20 MPH. 



$$



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