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FNUS54 KMRX 290208 AAA

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FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1008 PM EDT FRI MAR 28 2014



.DISCUSSION...

 

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY 

LATE TONIGHT...BRINGING NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS 

INTO SATURDAY. DRY AND COOLER WEATHER THEN RETURNS ON SUNDAY...WITH 

A WARMING TREND QUICKLY DEVELOPING ON MONDAY. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-300315-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1008 PM EDT FRI MAR 28 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+1)   58-63 (-2)   31-36        53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+17)  47-52 (+12)  76-81        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  7 G19                 NW  9 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 12 G21     NW 12 G21    NW 10 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           100          50           0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            4            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.42         0.21         0.00         

LAL                   3            3            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 12                     NW 21        

DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    39 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO

MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-300315-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1008 PM EDT FRI MAR 28 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (0)    58-63 (0)    30-35        53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+15)  46-51 (+11)  77-82        30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G17                  NW 13 G27    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 12 G25     NW 15 G29    NW 12 G25    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           100          70           0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            4            3                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.25         0.47         0.16         0.00         

LAL                   3            3            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 13                     NW 24        

DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    34 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO

MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-300315-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1008 PM EDT FRI MAR 28 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+2)   58-63 (0)    30-35        54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (+12)  45-50 (-3)   79-84        30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G18                 N  9 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        NW 12 G24    NW 13 G25    NW  7 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          60           0            

PRECIP DURATION       6            4            3                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.33         0.36         0.11         0.00         

LAL                   3            3            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 16                      N 20         

DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   24 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-300315-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1008 PM EDT FRI MAR 28 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+4)   60-65 (0)    33-38        56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+7)   44-49 (-9)   77-82        30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     N 10 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        NW 12 G24    NW 11 G22    N  8 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           80           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       6            4            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.45         0.28         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   3            3            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      N 21         

DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               31 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-300315-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1008 PM EDT FRI MAR 28 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+6)   59-64 (+1)   32-37        56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (+7)   45-50 (-6)   76-81        29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     N 11 G21     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        NW 12 G25    NW 14 G27    N  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           90           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       6            4            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.45         0.31         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   3            3            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      N 21         

DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               32 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          5                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-300315-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1008 PM EDT FRI MAR 28 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (0)    60-65 (-2)   32-37        55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+16)  45-50 (+7)   78-83        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6 G16                  NW  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 13 G23     NW 11 G19    NW  8 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           100          40           0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            4            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         0.40         0.19         0.00         

LAL                   3            3            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 12                      NW 17        

DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               39 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS NEAR 70. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH

SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS NEAR 70. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID

70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-300315-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1008 PM EDT FRI MAR 28 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+3)   60-65 (-2)   32-37        56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+9)   45-50 (-10)  79-84        30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6 G17                 N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW 12 G22    NW  9 G19    N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       6            4            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.31         0.31         0.07         0.00         

LAL                   3            3            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 13                      N 17         

DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   37 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS NEAR 70. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH

SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-300315-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1008 PM EDT FRI MAR 28 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+4)   61-66 (-1)   34-39        58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+3)   45-50 (-12)  78-83        30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G21                 N  9 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW 13 G24    N  9 G19     N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           80           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       6            3            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.50         0.20         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   3            3            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 17                     N 17         

DISPERSION                         34 FAIR                   36 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



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