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032 

FNUS54 KMRX 281443 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1043 AM EDT FRI MAR 28 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY 

LATE TONIGHT...BRINGING NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED 

THUNDERSTORMS. DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO RETURN ON SUNDAY...BUT 

WITH TEMPERATURES COOLER THAN NORMAL. A WARMING TREND WILL THEN 

QUICKLY DEVELOP ON MONDAY. 







VAZ001-002-005-006-008-291545-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1043 AM EDT FRI MAR 28 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (0)    46-51 (-1)   57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (+8)   95-100 (+27) 52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 11 G24                  S  6 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G19     LGT/VAR      W 11 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           100          90           

PRECIP DURATION       1            4            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.17         0.35         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 20                     NW 22        

DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   30 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. 

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S

TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50.

HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-291545-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1043 AM EDT FRI MAR 28 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (-1)   45-50 (-1)   56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (+9)   95-100 (+23) 52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 14 G29                  S 10 G23     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6 G20     LGT/VAR      W 11 G25     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           100          90           

PRECIP DURATION       1            4            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.28         0.41         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     W 24         

DISPERSION            12 POOR                   25 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

20 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER

70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-291545-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1043 AM EDT FRI MAR 28 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (0)    46-51 (+1)   57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (+19)  95-100 (+18) 48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 16 G35                  SW 11 G24    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G20     LGT/VAR      W 15 G27     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           100          80           

PRECIP DURATION       1            4            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.41         0.31         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 16                      NW 25        

DISPERSION            9 POOR                    25 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS

5 TO 20 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-291545-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1043 AM EDT FRI MAR 28 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (0)    48-53 (+2)   60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (+26)  95-100 (+15) 47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 13 G29                  SW 12 G22    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5 G15     LGT/VAR      W 13 G23     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           100          60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            5            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.59         0.25         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2800                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 15                      NW 24        

DISPERSION            10 POOR                   39 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-291545-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1043 AM EDT FRI MAR 28 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (-2)   48-53 (+4)   61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+21)  95-100 (+13) 46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 11 G23                  SW 12 G22    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W 13 G25     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           100          60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            5            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.62         0.32         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  2                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 14                     NW 24        

DISPERSION            9 POOR                    35 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             6                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS NEAR 60. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-291545-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1043 AM EDT FRI MAR 28 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (0)    48-53 (0)    58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (+8)   95-100 (+24) 50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G21                  S  6 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         LGT/VAR      W 13 G25     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           100          90           

PRECIP DURATION       1            4            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.24         0.33         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     W 23         

DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   46 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-291545-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1043 AM EDT FRI MAR 28 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (0)    50-55 (+2)   57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (+31)  95-100 (+17) 50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 11 G22                  S  6 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G17     LGT/VAR      W 14 G24     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           100          80           

PRECIP DURATION       1            4            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.37         0.20         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2900                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     NW 24        

DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   50 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-291545-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1043 AM EDT FRI MAR 28 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (-1)   51-56 (+2)   59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (+33)  95-100 (+13) 46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G20                  SW 10 G21    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      NW 14 G25    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           100          60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            5            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.62         0.17         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2500                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 16                      NW 25        

DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               60 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTH

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 



$$



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