

748 

FNUS54 KMRX 271858

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

300 PM EDT THU MAR 27 2014



.DISCUSSION... 

SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL RETURN TO THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN REGION AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...AS A COLD FRONT SLOWLY 

APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST 

THROUGH SATURDAY...AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND ITS ASSOCIATED COLD 

FRONT AFFECT THE AREA. DRY WEATHER AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE 

EXPECTED FOR NEXT WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-281945-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

300 PM EDT THU MAR 27 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+19)  58-63 (+2)   47-52        58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+22)  61-66 (+39)  91-96        47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 13 G27                  W  5 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 13 G26     SW  9 G20    LGT/VAR      NW 11 G22    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           90           90           70           

PRECIP DURATION       3            4            4            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         0.38         0.10         0.33         

LAL                   3            3            3            4            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 25                      NW 17        

DISPERSION                         30 FAIR                   51 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

LOWER TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. 

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS NEAR 60.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS NEAR 60. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-281945-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

300 PM EDT THU MAR 27 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+20)  57-62 (+2)   46-51        57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+21)  62-67 (+40)  91-96        49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 12 G25                  SW  6 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 17 G33     S  7 G17     LGT/VAR      NW 13 G23    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           90           90           70           

PRECIP DURATION       2            4            4            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          11 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.60         0.16         0.36         

LAL                   3            3            3            4            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 22                      NW 18        

DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   42 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO 

MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-281945-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

300 PM EDT THU MAR 27 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+20)  56-61 (+2)   46-51        56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+18)  63-68 (+41)  94-99        49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 14 G33                  W  9 G24     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 19 G39     S  5 G16     LGT/VAR      NW 11 G23    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           90           90           70           

PRECIP DURATION       2            4            4            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          11 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.69         0.30         0.30         

LAL                   3            3            3            4            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 22                      NW 21        

DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               41 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO 

MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 

MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-281945-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

300 PM EDT THU MAR 27 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+22)  58-63 (+2)   49-54        59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+12)  62-67 (+39)  91-96        47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 10 G25                  W  7 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 17 G33     SE  5        LGT/VAR      N 12 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           90           90           70           

PRECIP DURATION       2            4            4            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          11 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.66         0.36         0.24         

LAL                   3            3            3            4            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 20                      NW 20        

DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   56 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 

THE 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-281945-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

300 PM EDT THU MAR 27 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+22)  58-63 (+2)   47-52        59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+14)  63-68 (+40)  94-99        47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G17                  W  7 G20     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 14 G26     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW 13 G23    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           90           90           70           

PRECIP DURATION       2            4            4            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          11 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.80         0.36         0.30         

LAL                   3            3            3            4            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 18                      NW 21        

DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               56 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI                          5                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS NEAR 60. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-281945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

300 PM EDT THU MAR 27 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+21)  60-65 (+2)   48-53        60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+17)  60-65 (+38)  90-95        48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 10 G18                  W  5 G20     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G23     SW  7        LGT/VAR      NW 10 G22    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           90           90           70           

PRECIP DURATION       3            4            4            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.50         0.15         0.31         

LAL                   3            3            3            4            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 20                      NW 17        

DISPERSION                         24 FAIR                   59 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 

THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. 

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-281945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

300 PM EDT THU MAR 27 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+20)  60-65 (+2)   49-54        60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+15)  61-66 (+39)  91-96        47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 11 G23                  W  8 G20     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 13 G26     S  7 G16     LGT/VAR      N  9 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           90           90           70           

PRECIP DURATION       3            4            4            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.42         0.37         0.31         0.17         

LAL                   3            3            3            4            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2800                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 23                      NW 17        

DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   62 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS NEAR 60. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-281945-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

300 PM EDT THU MAR 27 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+21)  61-66 (+2)   51-56        61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+12)  60-65 (+36)  89-94        46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  9 G20                  NW  9 G22    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 14 G25     S  5         LGT/VAR      N 11 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           90           90           60           

PRECIP DURATION       3            4            4            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.51         0.43         0.42         0.12         

LAL                   3            3            3            4            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2700                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 20                      NW 21        

DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   65 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS AROUND 70. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S 

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.



$$



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