

903 

FNUS54 KMRX 270736

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

336 AM EDT THU MAR 27 2014



.DISCUSSION...

AN ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE AREA WILL GIVE WAY TO A WARMING 

TREND TODAY INTO THE WEEKEND. SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL 

DEVELOP THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM 

AND ITS ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT AFFECT THE AREA. DRY WEATHER AND 

SEASONAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FROM SUNDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-280845-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

336 AM EDT THU MAR 27 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+18)  41-46 (+19)  56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (+6)   94-99 (+31)  66-71        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G19                  S 11 G23     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G21     S 11 G20     S  8 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           80           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            

PRECIP BEGIN                       11 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.21         0.34         

LAL                   1            3            5            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 24                      S 25         

DISPERSION            63 GOOD                   35 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO

THE NORTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN

THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-280845-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

336 AM EDT THU MAR 27 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+17)  41-46 (+21)  54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (+5)   94-99 (+31)  69-74        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G20                  S 13 G27     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 13 G21     S 14 G25     S  7 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           80           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            

PRECIP BEGIN                       11 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.10         0.57         

LAL                   1            3            5            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 25                      S 24         

DISPERSION            55 GEN GOOD               21 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH

SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS

IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-280845-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

336 AM EDT THU MAR 27 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+14)  43-48 (+21)  55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (+5)   85-90 (+18)  60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G21                  S 14 G31     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 13 G23     S 14 G29     S  6 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           80           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            

PRECIP BEGIN                       11 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.16         0.72         

LAL                   1            3            5            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 29                      S 25         

DISPERSION            50 GEN GOOD               14 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH

SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.



$$



TNZ087-102-280845-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

336 AM EDT THU MAR 27 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+13)  46-51 (+24)  59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      26-31 (+5)   83-88 (+12)  61-66        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 10 G21                 S 11 G25     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 13 G23     S 13 G24     S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           80           

PRECIP DURATION                    3            8            

PRECIP BEGIN                       11 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.22         0.68         

LAL                   1            3            5            

LASI                  5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 30                      S 20         

DISPERSION            63 GOOD                   15 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-280845-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

336 AM EDT THU MAR 27 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+10)  44-49 (+24)  59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (+9)   84-89 (+10)  63-68        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 10 G21                 S  9 G20     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 13 G22     S 12 G22     S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           80           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            

PRECIP BEGIN                       11 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.16         0.84         

LAL                   1            3            5            

LASI                  5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 26                      S 16         

DISPERSION            69 GOOD                   15 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI             2                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-280845-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

336 AM EDT THU MAR 27 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+17)  43-48 (+21)  58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (+5)   93-98 (+26)  66-71        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  8 G18                 S 10 G20     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G19     S 11 G19     S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           80           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            

PRECIP BEGIN                       11 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.17         0.49         

LAL                   1            3            5            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      2900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 21                      S 21         

DISPERSION            52 GEN GOOD               25 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO

THE NORTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN

THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-280845-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

336 AM EDT THU MAR 27 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+15)  47-52 (+22)  59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      26-31 (+6)   86-91 (+18)  59-64        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G21                  S 10 G21     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G21     S 11 G21     S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           80           

PRECIP DURATION                    3            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.40         0.40         

LAL                   1            3            5            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      2700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 26                      S 22         

DISPERSION            67 GOOD                   27 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-280845-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

336 AM EDT THU MAR 27 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+13)  50-55 (+23)  60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (+7)   80-85 (+14)  59-64        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G20                  S  9 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G21     S 12 G20     S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           80           

PRECIP DURATION                    3            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.51         0.44         

LAL                   1            3            5            

LASI                  5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      2600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 30                      S 21         

DISPERSION            74 GOOD                   26 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



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