

120 

FNUS54 KMRX 261858

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

300 PM EDT WED MAR 26 2014



...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND BREEZY WINDS EXPECTED ON THURSDAY...



.DISCUSSION... 

AN ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE AREA WILL LINGER OVER THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN REGION TONIGHT...BRINGING ANOTHER NIGHT OF FREEZING 

TEMPERATURES. HOWEVER...A WARMING TREND WILL QUICKLY BRING 

UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES BY THE END OF THE WEEK. SCATTERED 

SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH 

SATURDAY...AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND ITS ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT 

AFFECTS THE AREA. DRY WEATHER AND SEASONAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED 

FROM SUNDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-272000-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

300 PM EDT WED MAR 26 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (+6)   55-60 (+19)  43-48        59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (+2)   24-29 (+2)   77-82        57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 11 G23                  S 12 G25     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 14 G23     S 13 G26     SW  8 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           70           

PRECIP DURATION                                 2            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.14         0.38         

LAL                   1            1            1            3            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      2900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 25                      S 22         

DISPERSION                         53 GEN GOOD               16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. 

LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 

MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO 

MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-272000-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

300 PM EDT WED MAR 26 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (+3)   53-58 (+19)  42-47        57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (+3)   24-29 (-1)   78-83        58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 12 G22                  S 14 G31     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 14 G25     S 16 G31     SW  6 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           70           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    11 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.06         0.49         

LAL                   1            1            1            3            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 26                      S 23         

DISPERSION                         34 FAIR                   7 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN 

THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S 

TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-272000-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

300 PM EDT WED MAR 26 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (+7)   53-58 (+16)  44-49        57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (+5)   24-29 (+1)   76-81        56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 12 G25                  S 16 G41     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 15 G29     S 18 G39     SW  6 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           70           

PRECIP DURATION                                 2            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.09         0.61         

LAL                   1            1            1            3            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 28                      S 23         

DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   9 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN 

THE LOWER 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH... 

INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. 

LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO 

LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO 

MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S 

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-272000-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

300 PM EDT WED MAR 26 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (+6)   56-61 (+14)  45-50        60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (+4)   24-29 (+3)   79-84        57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 13 G27                  S 11 G29     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 16 G28     S 16 G31     S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           70           

PRECIP DURATION                                 2            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.10         0.75         

LAL                   1            1            1            3            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 30                      S 20         

DISPERSION                         50 GEN GOOD               17 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN 

THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. 

LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S 

TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-272000-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

300 PM EDT WED MAR 26 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (+5)   56-61 (+13)  44-49        60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (0)    24-29 (+6)   80-85        58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 13 G24                 S  9 G24     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 15 G25     S 14 G26     S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           80           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.07         0.85         

LAL                   1            1            1            3            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 26                      S 18         

DISPERSION                         47 GEN GOOD               13 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI                          1                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN 

THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. 

LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S 

TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-272000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

300 PM EDT WED MAR 26 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (+4)   57-62 (+18)  44-49        61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (+6)   23-28 (+1)   80-85        56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  9 G20                  SW 11 G22    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 12 G22     S 10 G22     SW  7 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           70           

PRECIP DURATION                                 2            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.11         0.45         

LAL                   1            1            1            3            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      2700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 23                      SW 21        

DISPERSION                         52 GEN GOOD               21 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN 

THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. 

LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 

MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-272000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

300 PM EDT WED MAR 26 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (+7)   57-62 (+15)  47-52        61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (+5)   23-28 (+2)   78-83        55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 10 G26                  S 12 G25     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 15 G27     S 13 G26     S  8 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           70           

PRECIP DURATION                                 2            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.27         0.40         

LAL                   1            1            3            3            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      2500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 28                      S 22         

DISPERSION                         56 GEN GOOD               23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

NEAR 50. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE 

NORTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO 

LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. EAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S 

TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-272000-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

300 PM EDT WED MAR 26 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (+8)   58-63 (+13)  49-54        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (+7)   23-28 (+4)   71-76        53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 13 G26                  S 10 G23     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 15 G26     S 14 G24     S  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            70           70           

PRECIP DURATION                                 2            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.29         0.52         

LAL                   1            1            3            3            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      2400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 31                      S 21         

DISPERSION                         67 GOOD                   22 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN 

THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE 

NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S 

TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 



$$



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