

740 

FNUS54 KMRX 251923

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

323 PM EDT TUE MAR 25 2014



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN BEHIND AN EXITING LOW 

PRESSURE SYSTEM PROVIDING CLEAR AND COOL CONDITIONS ACROSS THE

SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. TEMPERATURES

WILL WARM TO NEAR SEASONAL NORMALS BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON AS A 

LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST.  

 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-262030-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

323 PM EDT TUE MAR 25 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      16-21 (-10)  36-41 (+2)   23-28        55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (-1)   23-28 (-16)  62-67        22-27        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 10 G19                 S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 14 G24    NW  8 G16    LGT/VAR      S  8         

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            8 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     S 22         

DISPERSION                         35 FAIR                   48 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-262030-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

323 PM EDT TUE MAR 25 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (-7)   35-40 (+3)   22-27        51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (-6)   23-28 (-25)  63-68        24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 13 G26                 S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 16 G30    NW 10 G20    LGT/VAR      S  7         

PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            8 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 22                     S 20         

DISPERSION                         38 FAIR                   31 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-262030-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

323 PM EDT TUE MAR 25 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      17-22 (-9)   38-43 (+3)   25-30        50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (-10)  20-25 (-18)  59-64        23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G17                 S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 13 G28    NW  6        LGT/VAR      S  8 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            8 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 14                     S 22         

DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   28 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO

MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-262030-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

323 PM EDT TUE MAR 25 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (-11)  44-49 (+4)   28-33        57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (-3)   17-22 (-19)  65-70        22-27        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  9 G17                  S  6 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G25    NW  6        LGT/VAR      S 10 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 15                      S 24         

DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   41 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S

TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-262030-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

323 PM EDT TUE MAR 25 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLEAR        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (-12)  46-51 (+5)   26-31        55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (-7)   16-21 (-17)  69-74        23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 11 G19                  SE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 14 G27    NW  7        LGT/VAR      SE  8 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     S 22         

DISPERSION                         34 FAIR                   40 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          2                         2            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S

TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-262030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

323 PM EDT TUE MAR 25 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (-10)  40-45 (+3)   23-28        57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (-5)   21-26 (-19)  72-77        21-26        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G16                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 12 G23    W  7 G15     LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            8 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 13                     S 21         

DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   47 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 50.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-262030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

323 PM EDT TUE MAR 25 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (-11)  43-48 (+5)   27-32        57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (+2)   19-24 (-16)  65-70        21-26        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G22    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  8 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  9                     S 24         

DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   51 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S

TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-262030-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

323 PM EDT TUE MAR 25 2014



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (-11)  46-51 (+4)   30-35        58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (-2)   16-21 (-14)  66-71        19-24        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      S  7 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G22    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 11 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 10                      S 25         

DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   52 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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