

933 

FNUS54 KMRX 250709

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

309 AM EDT TUE MAR 25 2014



.DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE EAST FROM THE MID 

MISSISSIPPI VALLEY REGION...SPREADING RAIN AND SNOW INTO THE 

TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL IS 

ANTICIPATED ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST 

TENNESSEE AND SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA. A COLD RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE 

SETTLES INTO THE REGION TONIGHT...BRINGING A HARD FREEZE WITH LOWS 

IN THE TEENS TO MID 20S EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

 



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-260815-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

309 AM EDT TUE MAR 25 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-7)   15-20 (-11)  37-42        

RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (+9)   66-71 (-8)   23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5 G15                 NW 10 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 12 G20    NW 14 G24    NW  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 17                     NW 17        

DISPERSION            55 GEN GOOD               53 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. NOT

AS COOL. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-260815-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

309 AM EDT TUE MAR 25 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-8)   16-21 (-9)   35-40        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (+13)  68-73 (-8)   24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7 G17                 NW 13 G26    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 13 G24    NW 16 G30    NW 10 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           50           0            

PRECIP DURATION       4            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 21                      NW 23        

DISPERSION            58 GEN GOOD               59 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND SCATTERED

THUNDERSTORMS. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-260815-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

309 AM EDT TUE MAR 25 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-8)   16-21 (-10)  37-42        

RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (+9)   68-73 (-15)  22-27        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  8 G19                 NW  8 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 13 G24    NW 13 G26    NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 22                     NW 15        

DISPERSION            62 GOOD                   26 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-260815-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

309 AM EDT TUE MAR 25 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-10)  18-23 (-12)  41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (+1)   75-80 (-8)   19-24        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  9 G20                 N  9 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 14 G23    NW 11 G23    NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6300                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 22                     N 15         

DISPERSION            81 GOOD                   37 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 60S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. NOT

AS COOL. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-260815-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

309 AM EDT TUE MAR 25 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-9)   17-22 (-13)  41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (+1)   78-83 (-8)   19-24        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  9 G22                 N 11 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 15 G25    NW 14 G25    NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            5 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 23                     NW 17        

DISPERSION            82 GOOD                   42 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI             3                         2            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. NOT

AS COOL. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-260815-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

309 AM EDT TUE MAR 25 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-8)   17-22 (-12)  39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (+9)   70-75 (-7)   22-27        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  6 G15                 NW  8 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G21     NW 11 G22    W  7 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      NW 14        

DISPERSION            71 GOOD                   47 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. NOT

AS COOL. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID

60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER

70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-260815-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

309 AM EDT TUE MAR 25 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-9)   18-23 (-12)  42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (+6)   69-74 (-4)   20-25        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7 G16                 NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 13 G23    NW  9 G20    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 20                     NW 10        

DISPERSION            83 GOOD                   32 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. NOT

AS COOL. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-260815-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

309 AM EDT TUE MAR 25 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-10)  21-26 (-11)  45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      26-31 (+1)   64-69 (-5)   19-24        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  9 G19                 N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 13 G24    NW  8 G20    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 23                     N 12         

DISPERSION            92 GOOD                   34 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID

30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. NOT

AS COOL. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS NEAR 70. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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