

661 

FNUS54 KMRX 241901

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

301 PM EDT MON MAR 24 2014



.DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE EAST FROM THE MID 

MISSISSIPPI VALLEY REGION THIS EVENING...SPREADING RAIN AND SNOW 

INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS LATE TONIGHT AND 

TUESDAY. ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL IS ANTICIPATED ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS 

AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA. 

 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-252015-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

301 PM EDT MON MAR 24 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (+6)   37-42 (-6)   16-21        39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (+10)  32-37 (+8)   61-66        21-26        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5 G18                 NW  8 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW 12 G24    NW 14 G25    W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           70           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            3            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          2 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.10         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 17                     NW 14        

DISPERSION                         55 GEN GOOD               29 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. NOT

AS COOL. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 10 TO

20 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-252015-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

301 PM EDT MON MAR 24 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (+5)   35-40 (-7)   16-21        38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+12)  32-37 (+6)   60-65        21-26        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7 G20                 NW 10 G22    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW 13 G28    NW 16 G30    W  7 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           80           50           0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            4            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          2 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.12         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 21                      NW 18        

DISPERSION                         58 GEN GOOD               37 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. NOT

AS COOL. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

20 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO

20 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-252015-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

301 PM EDT MON MAR 24 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (+5)   37-42 (-7)   17-22        41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+18)  28-33 (+2)   58-63        19-24        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G22                 NW  6 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW 13 G28    NW 13 G27    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           70           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            3            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          11 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.10         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 22                     NW 13        

DISPERSION                         62 GOOD                   15 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH INCREASING TO 5 TO 15 MPH AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...BREEZY. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER

60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 MPH EARLY IN

THE AFTERNOON. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...BREEZY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 25 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-252015-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

301 PM EDT MON MAR 24 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (+4)   42-47 (-8)   19-24        44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+9)   29-34 (-3)   59-64        18-23        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G23                 N  7 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW 14 G27    NW 11 G24    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           40           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          11 PM        CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.04         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6300                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 22                     N 12         

DISPERSION                         81 GOOD                   19 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. NOT

AS COOL. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-252015-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

301 PM EDT MON MAR 24 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (+5)   43-48 (-7)   18-23        44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+11)  26-31 (-6)   61-66        19-24        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G24                 N  8 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW 15 G29    NW 14 G26    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          11 PM        CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   5 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.03         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 23                     NW 14        

DISPERSION                         82 GOOD                   23 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          4                         2            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. NOT

AS COOL. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-252015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

301 PM EDT MON MAR 24 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (+6)   40-45 (-7)   18-23        42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (+9)   28-33 (+5)   61-66        20-25        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6 G18                 NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 12 G25     NW 11 G23    W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           50           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          2 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.08         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 18                      NW 10        

DISPERSION                         71 GOOD                   24 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. NOT

AS COOL. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH

SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO

MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-252015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

301 PM EDT MON MAR 24 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (+4)   40-45 (-9)   19-24        44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (+9)   27-32 (+3)   59-64        19-24        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7 G18                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW 13 G26    NW  9 G21    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           40           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          2 AM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.06         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 20                     NW  6        

DISPERSION                         83 GOOD                   14 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. NOT

AS COOL. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-252015-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

301 PM EDT MON MAR 24 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (+4)   44-49 (-9)   21-26        46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (+8)   24-29 (0)    57-62        18-23        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G21                 N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW 13 G27    NW  8 G21    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          2 AM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.03         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 23                     N  7         

DISPERSION                         92 GOOD                   13 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS

5 TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. NOT

AS COOL. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



