

428 

FNUS54 KMRX 240757

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

357 AM EDT MON MAR 24 2014



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE SETTLING OVER THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE NATION WILL

PROVIDE SUNNY AND DRY WEATHER TODAY. AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE

WILL MOVE EAST FROM THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY REGION 

TONIGHT...SPREADING RAIN AND SNOW INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND 

SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS LATE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. A LIGHT SNOW 

ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF SOUTHWEST 

VIRGINIA AND THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTHEAST TENNESSEE. 



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-250900-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

357 AM EDT MON MAR 24 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-2)   27-32 (+7)   37-42        

RH % (24H TREND)      20-25 (-11)  77-82 (+8)   31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  6 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW 12 G22    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           50           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.06         0.11         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  7                     W 28         

DISPERSION            12 POOR                   91 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS 13 TO 22. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. HIGHS IN

THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO

LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-250900-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

357 AM EDT MON MAR 24 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-3)   28-33 (+8)   37-42        

RH % (24H TREND)      20-25 (-19)  76-81 (+7)   33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  8 G21     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      NW 15 G26    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           60           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.09         0.13         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 10                     W 31         

DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               89 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS 15 TO 22. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. HIGHS IN

THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID

60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-250900-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

357 AM EDT MON MAR 24 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (-1)   28-33 (+7)   39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      20-25 (-20)  86-91 (+16)  28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  9 G21    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      NW 14 G25    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           40           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.07         0.11         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  8                      W 30         

DISPERSION            11 POOR                   87 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS 13 TO 24. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO

15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID

60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-250900-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

357 AM EDT MON MAR 24 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+1)   30-35 (+5)   43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (-18)  88-93 (+8)   27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  9 G20    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW 14 G23    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  7                      W 28         

DISPERSION            11 POOR                   103 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 17 TO 25. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST

AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO

UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-250900-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

357 AM EDT MON MAR 24 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+1)   30-35 (+5)   43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      23-28 (-23)  95-100 (+17) 25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  9 G22    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW 14 G24    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/RAIN    RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   5 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.07         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  6                      W 29         

DISPERSION            10 POOR                   103 VERY GOOD

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 17 TO 23. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER

60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-250900-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

357 AM EDT MON MAR 24 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-2)   29-34 (+7)   41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      19-24 (-13)  84-89 (+11)  26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  7 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW 12 G21    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           40           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  6                      W 29         

DISPERSION            10 POOR                   110 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 16 TO 24. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO

MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-250900-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

357 AM EDT MON MAR 24 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-2)   30-35 (+5)   42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      19-24 (-12)  78-83 (+8)   23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  7 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW 12 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW         SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  6                     W 28         

DISPERSION            12 POOR                   114 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 17 TO 25. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO

UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-250900-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

357 AM EDT MON MAR 24 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (0)    32-37 (+5)   47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      20-25 (-10)  78-83 (+9)   21-26        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  9 G20    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW 13 G22    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW/RAIN    RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           10           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   5 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  8                     NW 29        

DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               114 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID

30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TG/TD



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