

488 

FNUS54 KMRX 231909

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

309 PM EDT SUN MAR 23 2014



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD INTO THE REGION 

OVERNIGHT. AS SKIES CLEAR LATE THIS AFTERNOON FROM WEST TO 

EAST...TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO FALL AFTER SUNSET. OVERNIGHT 

EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO DROP INTO THE LOWER 30S ACROSS THE SOUTHERN 

TENNESSEE VALLEY AND LOWER 20S OVER SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA. ABUNDANT 

SUNSHINE AND LIGHT WINDS WILL OCCUR MONDAY AND HIGH TEMPERATURES 

RANGE FROM THE UPPER 50S SOUTH TO LOWER 40S NORTH. ANOTHER CHANCE 

FOR PRECIPITATION WILL OCCUR LATE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-242015-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

309 PM EDT SUN MAR 23 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (-15)  43-48 (0)    28-33        38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (+3)   21-26 (-25)  75-80        34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  9 G23     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  8         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW 14 G26    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           40           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         0.10         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  5                     W 28         

DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    91 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS 13 TO 22. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. HIGHS IN

THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-242015-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

309 PM EDT SUN MAR 23 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (-17)  42-47 (-1)   28-33        38-43        

RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (-2)   23-28 (-31)  78-83        34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W 10 G27     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G18    NW  5        LGT/VAR      NW 18 G33    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           60           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.07         0.11         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  8                     W 31         

DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    87 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS 15 TO 22. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. HIGHS IN

THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER

70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-242015-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

309 PM EDT SUN MAR 23 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (-18)  44-49 (+1)   29-34        39-44        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (+2)   21-26 (-31)  85-90        28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW 10 G26    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  8 G17     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW 16 G31    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           40           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.07         0.11         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  6                      W 30         

DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    84 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.

LOWS 13 TO 24. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO UP TO

10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO

LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-242015-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

309 PM EDT SUN MAR 23 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-17)  49-54 (+2)   32-37        44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+4)   26-31 (-28)  87-92        30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW 10 G26    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  9 G17     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW 16 G28    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.05         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  5                      W 28         

DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    103 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 17 TO 25. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO

LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-242015-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

309 PM EDT SUN MAR 23 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-17)  49-54 (+2)   31-36        44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+4)   26-31 (-27)  92-97        27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW 11 G26    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  9 G16     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW 16 G30    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   5 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.07         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  3                      W 29         

DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               103 VERY GOOD

MAX LVORI                          4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 17 TO 23. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER

70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-242015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

309 PM EDT SUN MAR 23 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (-16)  47-52 (-1)   31-36        41-46        

RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (+1)   19-24 (-29)  82-87        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  9 G23    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW 14 G26    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           40           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.05         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  3                      W 29         

DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               110 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 16 TO 24. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER

70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-242015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

309 PM EDT SUN MAR 23 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-13)  49-54 (+1)   31-36        42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (-2)   19-24 (-25)  79-84        27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  9 G22    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW 13 G24    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  3                     W 28         

DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    114 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 17 TO 25. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER

30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. HIGHS IN

THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER

70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-242015-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

309 PM EDT SUN MAR 23 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-15)  51-56 (+1)   33-38        46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (-1)   23-28 (-19)  78-83        24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW 10 G23    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  7 G15     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW 13 G25    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           10           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   5 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  6                     NW 29        

DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   114 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID

30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO

MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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