

978 

FNUS54 KMRX 230852

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

452 AM EDT SUN MAR 23 2014



.DISCUSSION...

RAIN SHOWERS WILL SPREAD NORTHEAST ACROSS THE TENNESSEE 

VALLEY AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS THIS MORNING...WITH A BRIEF MIX 

WITH SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA AND THE HIGHEST 

TERRAIN OF NORTHEAST TENNESSEE. THE RAIN WILL TAPER OFF AND END FROM 

THE WEST BY LATE MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON. MUCH COLDER AIR THEN 

MOVES IN THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK...WITH FREEZING TEMPERATURES 

EXPECTED FOR LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING. 



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-241000-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

452 AM EDT SUN MAR 23 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-16)  20-25 (-15)  43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (+6)   74-79 (-3)   21-26        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 16                      NW  5        

DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               12 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...SNOW LIKELY AND CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED FLURRIES. COLDER. LOWS

17 TO 23. LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-241000-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

452 AM EDT SUN MAR 23 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-14)  20-25 (-17)  42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+7)   77-82 (-3)   22-27        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 16                     NW  7        

DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY AND CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 20S

TO MID 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...SNOW LIKELY AND CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S

TO MID 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS 17 TO 25. LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-241000-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

452 AM EDT SUN MAR 23 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-13)  21-26 (-18)  44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+6)   80-85 (-1)   21-26        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 16                      N  5         

DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               9 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE 20S TO MID 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO MID 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS 15 TO 26. LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-241000-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

452 AM EDT SUN MAR 23 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-15)  25-30 (-17)  49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+6)   87-92 (-2)   26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       3                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 21                      N  5         

DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               13 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 20S TO

UPPER 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO

UPPER 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS 18 TO 26. LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-241000-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

452 AM EDT SUN MAR 23 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-14)  25-30 (-17)  49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+6)   87-92 (-5)   26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       3                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 17                      NW  2        

DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               6 VERY POOR  

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

UPPER 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 18 TO 24. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-241000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

452 AM EDT SUN MAR 23 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (-14)  22-27 (-16)  47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (+5)   81-86 (-5)   20-25        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2900                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 13                      N  3         

DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               9 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S TO MID 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 19 TO 26. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-241000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

452 AM EDT SUN MAR 23 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (-15)  25-30 (-13)  49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (+2)   78-83 (-3)   19-24        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2900                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 17                      NE  5        

DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   14 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

UPPER 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-241000-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

452 AM EDT SUN MAR 23 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-13)  27-32 (-15)  51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-4)   76-81 (-4)   23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  2                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2800                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 23                      NE  7        

DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   19 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID TO

UPPER 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TG/TD



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