

963 

FNUS54 KMRX 221909

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

309 PM EDT SAT MAR 22 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WILL OOZE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF EAST TENNESSEE...

SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA BY LATE 

THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT TO THE NORTH TONIGHT. 



INCREASING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND RAIN SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP 

AFTER MIDNIGHT PARTICULARLY OVER THE SOUTHERN VALLEY. RAIN WILL

SPREAD NORTHWARD INTO VIRGINIA BY MID MORNING.  RAIN SHOULD 

TAPER OFF FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST BY LATE TOMORROW AFTERNOON.

LOOK FOR HIGH TEMPERATURES TO BE IN THE 50S SOUTH AND 40S NORTH.

FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE LIKELY MONDAY MORNING AS MUCH DRIER 

AIR MOVES INTO THE REGION. 



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-232015-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

309 PM EDT SAT MAR 22 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-5)   41-46 (-18)  20-25        44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+22)  45-50 (+15)  67-72        20-25        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  9 G17    N  5         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          2 AM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.05         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 16                      N  3         

DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               10 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SNOW LIKELY AND CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES. COLDER. LOWS

17 TO 23. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. LOWS

AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-232015-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

309 PM EDT SAT MAR 22 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-2)   42-47 (-15)  20-25        42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+20)  49-54 (+14)  71-76        22-27        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW 10 G19    NW  6 G16    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.04         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     NW  7        

DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    18 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SNOW LIKELY AND CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S

TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST

EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS 17 TO 25. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-232015-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

309 PM EDT SAT MAR 22 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+1)   43-48 (-13)  21-26        45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+16)  48-53 (+11)  73-78        20-25        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  9 G16     N  6         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.05         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 16                      N  5         

DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    9 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE 20S

TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS 15 TO 26. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-232015-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

309 PM EDT SAT MAR 22 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+4)   47-52 (-15)  25-30        51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+8)  50-55 (+13)  84-89        25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  9 G17                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N 11 G20     N  7 G16     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.08         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 21                      N  5         

DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               11 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO

UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS 18 TO 26. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-232015-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

309 PM EDT SAT MAR 22 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+7)   48-53 (-13)  25-30        52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  50-55 (+13)  85-90        23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  7 G15                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N 10 G20     N  6         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.07         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 17                      W  3         

DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   9 POOR       

MAX LVORI                          6                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES. COLDER. LOWS

18 TO 24. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-232015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

309 PM EDT SAT MAR 22 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (0)    45-50 (-17)  22-27        48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+13) 44-49 (+11)  73-78        19-24        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  7        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          2 AM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.04         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 13                      NE  3        

DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               11 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES. COLDER. LOWS

19 TO 26. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. LOWS

AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-232015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

309 PM EDT SAT MAR 22 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-4)   46-51 (-17)  25-30        50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+18)  42-47 (+8)   72-77        19-24        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  7                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  9 G18     N  5         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.04         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2800                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 17                      NE  5        

DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   13 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-232015-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

309 PM EDT SAT MAR 22 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (0)    48-53 (-15)  27-32        53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+7)   37-42 (0)    73-78        22-27        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  9 G17                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N 10 G19     N  8 G16     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.08         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2700                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 23                      NE  6        

DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO

LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR...COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



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