

005 

FNUS54 KMRX 221413

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1013 AM EDT SAT MAR 22 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE REGION 

THIS AFTERNOON BRINGING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. RAIN CHANCES INCREASE 

TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPS OVER THE GULF 

COAST STATES. MUCH COOLER AIR FLOWS INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS 

FOR SUNDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW ON 

TUESDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-231515-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1013 AM EDT SAT MAR 22 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (-2)   36-41 (-4)   42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (+9)   82-87 (+21)  45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      NW  9 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.12         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      N 15         

DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   33 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 17 TO 26. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE 20S TO

LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S

TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-231515-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1013 AM EDT SAT MAR 22 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (-2)   38-43 (-1)   43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (+14)  90-95 (+21)  49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6 G15                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G15    LGT/VAR      NW  9 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           40           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.03         0.32         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 20                      N 15         

DISPERSION            36 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 19 TO 27. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE 20S TO

LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SNOW AND RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID

30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. LOWS

IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-231515-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1013 AM EDT SAT MAR 22 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-2)   40-45 (+2)   44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (+17)  90-95 (+18)  51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      N  8 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           40           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.08         0.22         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 17                      N 14         

DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 19 TO 28. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH

INCREASING TO 5 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS

IN THE 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-231515-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1013 AM EDT SAT MAR 22 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (0)    43-48 (+5)   48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (+16)  95-100 (+10) 54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  8 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      N 11 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           40           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.10         0.19         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 14                      N 18         

DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   27 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-231515-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1013 AM EDT SAT MAR 22 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (-1)   43-48 (+8)   49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (+18)  95-100 (+5)  55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      N 10 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           40           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.08         0.20         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      N 14         

DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   21 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             4                         5            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS

IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-231515-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1013 AM EDT SAT MAR 22 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (-1)   39-44 (+1)   46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (+14)  91-96 (+12)  44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.04         0.22         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      N 13         

DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   30 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE 20S TO

MID 30S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS

IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-231515-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1013 AM EDT SAT MAR 22 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (-1)   40-45 (-2)   47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (+13)  86-91 (+16)  41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  8 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.07         0.11         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      N 16         

DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   41 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS

THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-231515-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1013 AM EDT SAT MAR 22 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (-3)   43-48 (+1)   49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (+17)  86-91 (+5)   36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  9 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N 11 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           60           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            2            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.15         0.14         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      N 22         

DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   50 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN

THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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