

468 

FNUS54 KMRX 211912

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

312 PM EDT FRI MAR 21 2014



.DISCUSSION....WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY 

AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT...BUT THEN EXPECT SCATTERED SHOWERS TO 

MOVE INTO THE AREA AS THE FRONT APPROACHES. SHOWERS MAY INCREASE 

IN COVERAGE BY SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY...FOLLOWED BY COOLER 

TEMPERATURES INTO NEXT WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-222000-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

312 PM EDT FRI MAR 21 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+10)  57-62 (-4)   37-42        43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+6)   48-53 (+30)  81-86        44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      N  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         LGT/VAR      N  9 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           50           60           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.04         0.14         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 16                      N 15         

DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   15 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS 18 TO 27. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND

SNOW. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S

TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-222000-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

312 PM EDT FRI MAR 21 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+11)  56-61 (-3)   38-43        44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (+10)  45-50 (+27)  95-100       47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G18                  N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         W  6         LGT/VAR      N  9 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           50           60           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN                       9 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.08         0.20         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 21                      N 15         

DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   10 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND

SNOW. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY...CHANCE OF SNOW AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN

LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN

THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS

IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-222000-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

312 PM EDT FRI MAR 21 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+10)  57-62 (-1)   40-45        45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+17) 38-43 (+23)  95-100       45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G19                  N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G15     W  6         LGT/VAR      N  8 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           50           60           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN                       9 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.13         0.11         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 21                      N 14         

DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   10 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN

AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.



$$



TNZ087-102-222000-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

312 PM EDT FRI MAR 21 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+9)   63-68 (+1)   43-48        49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  41-46 (+23)  93-98        48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     N  8 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         W  6         LGT/VAR      N 10 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           50           60           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                       9 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.06         0.10         0.09         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      N 18         

DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-222000-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

312 PM EDT FRI MAR 21 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+7)   63-68 (+1)   43-48        50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+7)  42-47 (+26)  95-100       48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  7         LGT/VAR      N  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           50           60           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN                       9 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         0.07         0.13         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 16                      N 14         

DISPERSION                         34 FAIR                   10 POOR      

MAX LVORI                          4                         5            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-222000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

312 PM EDT FRI MAR 21 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+8)   60-65 (-3)   39-44        47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+10)  47-52 (+30)  93-98        45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         LGT/VAR      N  7 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           50           60           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.10         0.14         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      N 14         

DISPERSION                         34 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...RAIN...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW.

HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-222000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

312 PM EDT FRI MAR 21 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+10)  61-66 (-3)   40-45        48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+1)   43-48 (+25)  89-94        43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      N  8 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         LGT/VAR      N  8 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           50           60           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.14         0.08         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 15                      N 17         

DISPERSION                         34 FAIR                   25 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING

RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-222000-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

312 PM EDT FRI MAR 21 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+10)  65-70 (-1)   43-48        50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+1)   40-45 (+22)  90-95        39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     N 10 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6         LGT/VAR      N 11 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           60           60           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.07         0.14         0.09         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         2            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      2800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 15                      N 23         

DISPERSION                         37 FAIR                   33 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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